Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85bea7fa9c349d46929470f505b91016926a76ed81aa44332705b8b939710f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $581,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 0c | 103,723$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +562.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 34c | 30,752$10,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,437.93 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 23c | 21,889$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 2c | 14,978$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6169…e8e0backed Yes | 3c | 12,739$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 9c | 11,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…382bbacked Yes | 4c | 10,993$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.32 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 75c | 10,121$7,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.28 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…7181backed No | 53c | 10,000$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +406%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 74c | 9,329$6,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.59 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0f5ebacked Yes | 5c | 8,616$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 10cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 18c | 7,665$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,265.63 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…a1b5backed Yes | 5c | 7,594$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +318.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,412$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 28c | 7,142$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.24 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed No | 74c | 6,627$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.06 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 1c | 5,985$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 33c | 5,903$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.64 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…bc7dbacked No | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 4c | 4,897$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…35f0backed Yes | 14c | 4,031$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 23c | 3,791$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.5 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 47c | 3,688$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.91 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 0c | 3,506$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 10c | 3,503$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…4c4bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,456$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 80c | 3,150$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 3,096$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.05 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 6c | 3,001$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0335…ae81backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,872$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 3c | 2,537$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…d3fbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,248$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9822…c7d0backed Yes | 4c | 2,200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 12c | 2,129$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,011$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 4c | 1,909$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ed…d936backed Yes | 5c | 1,876$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…1cd7backed Yes | 12c | 1,743$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 4c | 1,676$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…fb4bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,665$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 1,607$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…f9e3backed Yes | 2c | 1,573$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 5c | 1,523$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,437$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,430$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…208abacked Yes | 4c | 1,400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…792bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,356$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 4c | 1,313$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 1,282$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 18c | 1,258$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.42 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,239$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,013$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…3ffebacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 5c | 996.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 4c | 888.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 827.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 4c | 778.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…230abacked Yes | 7c | 737$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…df14backed Yes | 22c | 700$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 34c | 589.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 28c | 581.31$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…f503backed Yes | 43c | 562.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf97f…4b2dbacked Yes | 4c | 539.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…3b19backed Yes | 2c | 533.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…2702backed Yes | 2c | 532.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…12dabacked Yes | 2c | 522.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5aafbacked Yes | 19c | 515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 24c | 505$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 487.78$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…494bbacked Yes | 5c | 467.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 46c | 458.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 14c | 432.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…835dbacked Yes | 5c | 415.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 36c | 414.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…25f4backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…d6c3backed Yes | 11c | 380.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 53c | 373.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…b8b5backed Yes | 21c | 347.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 34c | 310.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…97cebacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…4585backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8596…39eebacked Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…3690backed No | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…0e99backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 75c | 296.49$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…e02ebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…85d9backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…4735backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8408…5dcabacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +276.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc43…1c86backed Yes | 11c | 179.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 9c | 174.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…4959backed Yes | 10c | 170$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…25d5backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…eee7backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.