Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x595e19175cb4cbc5667e32f33092399c63913754a3dad028e19c60fab094fc2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b1…1bf0backed No | 0c | 25,858$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 14,766$7,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,314.65 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 21c | 11,433$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,032.9 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 27c | 11,111$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.95 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 52c | 10,278$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,905.67 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 27c | 8,995$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.42 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed Yes | 67c | 6,951$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.58 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 22c | 6,813$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.82 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 11c | 6,521$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.68 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 9c | 6,142$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.74 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 3,543$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.7 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 57c | 3,233$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.85 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…1088backed No | 23c | 1,874$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,824$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.81 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…33c9backed No | 74c | 1,750$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes | 37c | 1,698$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…b968backed Yes | 66c | 1,652$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 48c | 1,477$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.13 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 15c | 1,076$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +4.7wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +443.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…b816backed Yes | 27c | 950$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 58c | 861.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 21c | 794.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.96 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 39c | 767.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.49 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 30c | 738.91$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.91 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…6158backed No | 28c | 722.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 600.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked No | 45c | 559.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…1e52backed No | 38c | 524.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 36c | 507.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.51 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 34c | 469.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.69 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 28c | 455.37$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…990bbacked No | 40c | 380.81$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 48c | 376.86$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 56c | 344.82$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 35c | 343.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…f503backed Yes | 39c | 332$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…28e9backed No | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Yes | 35c | 291.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 52c | 287.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…d39cbacked Yes | 47c | 267.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…3e02backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 27cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6379…55e4backed No | 76c | 250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da8…8d72backed Yes | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +209.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 47c | 246.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…769fbacked No | 9c | 222.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…7904backed Yes | 32c | 217.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked No | 9c | 209.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9728…0314backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ccafbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 36c | 188.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5a89backed Yes | 39c | 176.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…2ee0backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +289.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…9dd7backed No | 8c | 129.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked Yes | 34c | 122.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 80c | 122.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…fe47backed Yes | 42c | 121.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…fc47backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0b…09c6backed Yes | 70c | 109.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…8f49backed No | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…1316backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…4457backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…81dcbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…cf28backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…6a3abacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…0097backed No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a78…7bcfbacked Yes | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3205…cc50backed No | 49c | 78.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 28c | 74.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…c051backed Yes | 70c | 69.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed No | 22c | 64.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…3ad3backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +435.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ba…7856backed Yes | 33c | 56.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked No | 31c | 53.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…013ebacked Yes | 54c | 50.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…6280backed Yes | 67c | 47.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…eb60backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…ff77backed Yes | 67c | 41.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +877.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…31bebacked No | 56c | 37.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…7acbbacked No | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Yes | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…005fbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.