TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5534…eb60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15120.5%31 W · 120 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$230
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$29.72
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$13.7
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$8.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$8.09
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+89.9%+$17.97
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$58
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.2%+$14.54
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+131.9%+$139.83
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$160.8
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+113%+$22.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.9%+$55.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+65.3%+$6.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by between 27% and 29.9% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.