Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53da62774d757d6a651c69a1aca70f7765ed6b840bd1f4b209692f8d6c0c2d4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,204,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,217,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,204,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,794 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 1,273,229$38,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,991.69 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Yes | 3c | 733,674$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…8e3cbacked Yes | 4c | 654,168$23,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,308.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 3c | 515,890$16,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,492.58 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 340,150$10,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,341.29 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 3c | 328,940$9,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,830.14 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 311,883$10,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,916.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…fcadbacked Yes | 4c | 208,000$7,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,567.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 3c | 200,000$6,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,178.07 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…f184backed Yes | 3c | 190,239$6,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,447.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 4c | 164,144$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,047.6 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Yes | 4c | 146,871$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Yes | 3c | 136,058$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…1106backed Yes | 4c | 132,549$4,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda19…c13bbacked Yes | 4c | 124,910$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…67e6backed Yes | 4c | 108,108$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 3c | 105,717$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.45 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 4c | 100,320$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.53 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd140…9b84backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 3c | 100,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…9a82backed Yes | 3c | 93,485$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…875bbacked Yes | 3c | 79,716$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…1de3backed Yes | 4c | 75,841$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes | 4c | 64,438$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5512…023abacked Yes | 4c | 63,584$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…586abacked Yes | 3c | 62,505$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 3c | 62,436$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.21 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 2c | 57,348$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.9 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…64c4backed Yes | 0c | 55,555$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 4c | 54,054$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…1d15backed Yes | 4c | 53,289$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 4c | 52,500$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…15acbacked Yes | 4c | 51,427$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes | 4c | 50,873$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 4c | 50,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 3c | 49,335$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…d6f7backed Yes | 3c | 48,041$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Yes | 3c | 44,084$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.16 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…3690backed Yes | 4c | 43,260$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes | 3c | 42,112$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.76 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 3c | 39,773$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.45 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 3c | 37,951$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.73 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…54c7backed Yes | 3c | 36,841$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 2c | 36,140$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.73 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…10d8backed Yes | 2c | 35,899$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…8d4bbacked Yes | 4c | 35,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes | 3c | 34,483$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…db2bbacked Yes | 0c | 33,885$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…e0e5backed Yes | 3c | 32,330$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes | 3c | 32,000$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…45bbbacked Yes | 3c | 31,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 4c | 31,106$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.19 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…481fbacked Yes | 3c | 30,129$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…d732backed Yes | 4c | 30,049$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 3c | 30,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…c26bbacked Yes | 1c | 29,469$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…25dfbacked Yes | 3c | 29,376$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…f51fbacked Yes | 4c | 28,725$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.36 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 3c | 28,433$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.55 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Yes | 4c | 27,920$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d8…3639backed Yes | 4c | 27,741$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…079abacked Yes | 3c | 27,072$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.16 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Yes | 4c | 27,027$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…d801backed Yes | 3c | 27,022$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…6eecbacked Yes | 3c | 26,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…f064backed Yes | 3c | 26,309$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af7…4c89backed Yes | 4c | 26,060$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bc…1cb6backed Yes | 4c | 23,684$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…33a8backed Yes | 4c | 22,866$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…17bcbacked Yes | 4c | 22,743$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…8b1dbacked Yes | 3c | 22,452$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…d3c2backed Yes | 2c | 22,217$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Yes | 3c | 22,120$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.84 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…5f09backed Yes | 4c | 21,053$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…969cbacked Yes | 2c | 20,820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 3c | 20,637$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.39 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes | 3c | 20,634$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ab…bcd9backed Yes | 4c | 20,256$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…0178backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 3c | 19,703$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…7336backed Yes | 3c | 19,658$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7445…ba8fbacked Yes | 3c | 19,630$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…0eacbacked Yes | 2c | 19,100$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 3c | 18,746$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.29 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 3c | 18,722$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…ac3dbacked Yes | 3c | 18,534$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes | 4c | 18,158$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…2d0cbacked Yes | 2c | 18,044$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.08 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f3…d35cbacked Yes | 3c | 17,986$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…ff91backed Yes | 4c | 17,502$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…09a1backed Yes | 3c | 17,351$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…e34abacked Yes | 3c | 17,290$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.13 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 2c | 17,270$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.91 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…9f20backed Yes | 3c | 17,241$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…1d45backed Yes | 3c | 17,000$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 2c | 16,703$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.65 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes | 3c | 16,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…908ebacked Yes | 3c | 16,667$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0266backed Yes | 3c | 16,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.