TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,869,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,383,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,869,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c100,883$13,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,201.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc357…e998backed Yes16c81,000$12,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,960329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda19…c13bbacked Yes16c69,167$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0002313%3 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes16c66,657$10,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,665.18913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes15c65,000$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,75027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes14c55,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.9912810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013722.6%31 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Yes15c50,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,499.984420.5%9 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+336.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes14c35,714$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes16c30,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes16c25,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes16c24,079$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.139218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7c…586abacked Yes16c18,750$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes16c17,885$2,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,861.557429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes16c17,454$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.561216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3d…3735backed Yes16c17,283$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+270.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Yes15c16,667$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes2c15,792$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.812015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes16c15,625$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes16c15,625$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Yes1c13,386$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.36212.9%8 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes16c12,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0950…2380backed Yes16c11,891$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.8710917.4%19 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed Yes9c11,623$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…e419backed Yes1c10,667$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b8…41c9backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227d…5ea5backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+506.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2756…7737backed Yes0c9,625$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.88348.8%3 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+724.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…995abacked Yes0c9,254$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes16c8,902$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.2526445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes16c8,226$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.3575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92fb…a7debacked Yes16c7,831$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2532138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb0…2736backed Yes16c7,375$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5f…4069backed Yes14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…b59cbacked Yes16c6,839$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.163531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007727.3%21 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d8…d9f6backed Yes15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes14c6,447$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.56417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e8…bf9fbacked Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000419.8%4 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes1c5,923$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3d…1600backed Yes3c5,870$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.23225%8 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes9c5,611$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes7c5,555$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8519020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc318…6f8dbacked Yes16c5,220$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004211.9%5 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe7…6143backed Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004717%8 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes15c4,950$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.511616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes16c4,481$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6976729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045c…7b25backed Yes15c4,100$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6086232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7725backed Yes16c3,750$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009636.5%35 W · 61 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes16c3,742$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.5729916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Yes4c3,662$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6388…bdcabacked Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf093…44a6backed Yes16c3,536$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.681612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes16c3,354$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53520816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes15c3,290$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.522730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Yes15c3,180$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4775947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce77…ac3dbacked Yes16c3,150$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc20e…642abacked Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012345.5%56 W · 67 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7bd…1d7cbacked Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007627.6%21 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8e…a723backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb11e…857bbacked Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8431…4cc8backed Yes16c3,075$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4805523.6%13 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bda…ac9bbacked Yes16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Yes14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.99119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-80.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee14…ac23backed Yes16c2,980$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.832536%9 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes1c2,975$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.48806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes11c2,949$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.8840912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes5c2,877$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.772,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Yes14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005731.6%18 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f21…68fbbacked Yes16c2,790$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.323732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes6c2,712$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6720013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes16c2,563$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37513538.5%52 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019938.2%76 W · 123 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999f…4ae5backed Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400685.9%4 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3362…a769backed Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005922%13 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x129d…7d2dbacked Yes16c2,475$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.921127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes3c2,450$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2cc…9c81backed Yes16c2,376$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.2260%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes15c2,333$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…82f9backed Yes2c2,241$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.853616.7%6 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+91.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Yes16c2,232$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35031129.6%92 W · 219 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.