Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea3a43cfe43b5bf81aa736f0d6204f0f2b298425df4612a6ab21ed513b0d42ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,317,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,754,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,317,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 278,885$19,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,992.33 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes | 7c | 190,078$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 7c | 157,381$11,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,268.85 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 134,720$9,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,497.42 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 130,212$9,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,857.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…e998backed Yes | 8c | 69,375$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 8c | 62,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…586abacked Yes | 8c | 54,694$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda19…c13bbacked Yes | 8c | 50,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…43dabacked Yes | 7c | 50,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.98 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +336.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…e0e5backed Yes | 6c | 38,750$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 7c | 31,471$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.17 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…8b0bbacked Yes | 8c | 25,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…98babacked Yes | 8c | 25,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…737cbacked Yes | 8c | 23,750$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 8c | 22,728$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.24 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…236fbacked Yes | 9c | 22,222$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…ae50backed Yes | 7c | 21,429$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes | 0c | 19,920$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…5f84backed Yes | 8c | 18,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…3f67backed Yes | 3c | 16,552$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 6c | 15,985$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.08 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0266backed Yes | 7c | 13,568$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…805ebacked Yes | 7c | 13,384$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…45bbbacked Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5f…4069backed Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…83b7backed Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…33a8backed Yes | 8c | 12,400$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…5c2abacked Yes | 1c | 11,813$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes | 5c | 11,554$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.38 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…6f8dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,450$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…ebb6backed Yes | 8c | 11,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…3690backed Yes | 9c | 10,848$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…40a7backed Yes | 7c | 10,714$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 5c | 10,362$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.09 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcc…a7eebacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 7c | 9,728$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.81 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 7c | 8,349$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.63 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 8c | 7,687$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.97 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef5…0ec6backed Yes | 8c | 7,511$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…8f96backed Yes | 7c | 7,433$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…7b25backed Yes | 8c | 7,400$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 5c | 7,300$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…d5aabacked Yes | 7c | 7,091$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 6c | 6,844$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.46 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…1d15backed Yes | 7c | 6,522$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 5c | 6,500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.72 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes | 8c | 6,277$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…f815backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…1d7cbacked Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…f2d9backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe927…a965backed Yes | 7c | 6,180$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.6 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…4e69backed Yes | 7c | 5,958$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.03 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e3…109bbacked Yes | 8c | 5,821$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.65 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe7…6143backed Yes | 7c | 5,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Yes | 8c | 5,625$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09eb…4357backed Yes | 2c | 5,330$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…f186backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…7044backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 8c | 4,777$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.19 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 8c | 4,438$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…67debacked Yes | 7c | 4,384$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,352$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.93 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…6eecbacked Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…eeaabacked Yes | 8c | 4,250$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 8c | 4,075$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…6343backed Yes | 10c | 3,896$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e65…444cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,896$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.34 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…ac3dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…9d22backed Yes | 8c | 3,688$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…045bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…31c9backed Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e69cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes | 9c | 3,516$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 7c | 3,504$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 7c | 3,481$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 7c | 3,470$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08a…92a4backed Yes | 6c | 3,404$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.53 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,333$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,306$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.22 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…4419backed Yes | 8c | 3,302$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.