TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,317,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,754,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,317,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes7c278,885$19,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,992.332,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes7c190,078$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0002722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes7c157,381$11,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,268.8556410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes7c134,720$9,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,497.4278317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c130,212$9,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,857.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc357…e998backed Yes8c69,375$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,425329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes8c62,000$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,96013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7c…586abacked Yes8c54,694$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3501711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda19…c13bbacked Yes8c50,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002313%3 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Yes7c50,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.984420.5%9 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+336.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9121…e0e5backed Yes6c38,750$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes7c31,471$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.1775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc8…8b0bbacked Yes8c25,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Yes8c25,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3b…737cbacked Yes8c23,750$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-64.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes8c22,728$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.249218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2db…236fbacked Yes9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c2…ae50backed Yes7c21,429$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes6c20,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes0c19,920$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.927018.6%13 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf96…5f84backed Yes8c18,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Yes3c16,552$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.517613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes6c15,985$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.0819332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes7c13,568$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes7c13,384$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76dd…45bbbacked Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f1…b325backed Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed5f…4069backed Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd581…83b7backed Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…33a8backed Yes8c12,400$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…5c2abacked Yes1c11,813$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes5c11,554$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.387622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc318…6f8dbacked Yes7c11,450$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…ebb6backed Yes8c11,250$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…3690backed Yes9c10,848$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381f…40a7backed Yes7c10,714$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes5c10,362$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800466.5%3 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007133.8%24 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcc…a7eebacked Yes4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+113.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.982825%7 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes7c9,728$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.8129916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes7c8,349$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.6317416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes8c7,687$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.9725124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ef5…0ec6backed Yes8c7,511$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.92245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb244…8f96backed Yes7c7,433$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045c…7b25backed Yes8c7,400$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5926232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes5c7,300$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36535514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254c…d5aabacked Yes7c7,091$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.41233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes6c6,844$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.461,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d9…1d15backed Yes7c6,522$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes5c6,500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7225418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes8c6,277$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.181216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7bd…1d7cbacked Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x043c…f2d9backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe927…a965backed Yes7c6,180$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6330%0 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes7c6,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8546…4e69backed Yes7c5,958$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.033119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Yes8c5,821$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.652623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe7…6143backed Yes7c5,714$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004717%8 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Yes8c5,625$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09eb…4357backed Yes2c5,330$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f2…f186backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a4…7044backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9960%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes8c4,777$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1917733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes8c4,438$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe20…67debacked Yes7c4,384$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.881369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes8c4,352$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.9353920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab6…6eecbacked Yes7c4,286$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick8cpaid+211.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x126f…eeaabacked Yes8c4,250$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes8c4,075$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32626618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204211.9%5 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b1…6343backed Yes10c3,896$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002119%4 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-57%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e65…444cbacked Yes8c3,896$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.347631.6%24 W · 52 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce77…ac3dbacked Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f64…9d22backed Yes8c3,688$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes7c3,571$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e1…045bbacked Yes7c3,571$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b2…31c9backed Yes7c3,571$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503312.1%4 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778f…e69cbacked Yes7c3,571$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes9c3,516$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007115.5%11 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes7c3,504$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.320013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes7c3,481$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5978835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes7c3,470$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23075335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc08a…92a4backed Yes6c3,404$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.539420.2%19 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes7c3,333$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3127811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes8c3,306$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.225633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa41c…4419backed Yes8c3,302$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.162516%4 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick19cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.