TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde0a…f102

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
728
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT56410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 564 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.18
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.12
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060.83
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$7,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,100
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,620
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,700.04
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$7,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,679.33
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,912.42
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$5,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,603.91
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,268.85
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$6,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,178.07
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,461.16
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.66
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,311.91
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,212.52
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.04
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$905.13
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,649Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,145.9%+$18,896.86
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,935.6
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,724.09
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$3,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,520.19
Showing 25 of 564 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6936.2%25 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,608.5
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$414.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,052Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$1,934.3
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,876.8
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,833Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,067
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.28
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,675Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$2,512.1
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,955Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,115.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,711Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$2,890.05
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.95
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,814.16
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,102.73
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$144.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.8
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,139.95
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$257.88
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,822.14
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.61
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470.23
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,335.42
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,080
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.11
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22,465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$7,384.56
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,016.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,104.64
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.37
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.7
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,965.62
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,801.07
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13,693Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$9,074.52
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,815Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+358.9%+$13,692.59
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$42.92
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$577.34
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.72
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$129.69
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+360.1%+$781.68
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.71
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,136.98
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$1,246
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$4,200
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,549.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,019Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$1,192.67
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,401Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$973.34
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$171.2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,723Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3,777.38
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$647.65
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,765.12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$2,113.9
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$548.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.43
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$80.1
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$240.83
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.84
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.59
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$293.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.54
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.85
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.74
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,866Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,683.28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$1,165.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,367.64
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$2,214.32
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.81
Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$287
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.07
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+202%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,571Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$7,713.96
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$765
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.65
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9,300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.