Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382881b2a0f060d0ac64c7684f533499e02b4895126c521a1b0ed1aabba8582a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,032,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,006,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,032,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2eb1…4ea4backed No | 58c | 502,987$289,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,201.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 223,638$94,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,107.18 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…e993backed Yes | 45c | 154,423$69,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,458.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 45c | 85,888$38,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,390.72 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 69c | 74,840$51,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,448.53 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 74,047$19,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,695.54 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 55c | 35,352$19,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,908.56 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 28,545$10,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,191.23 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 22,307$9,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,539.87 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 41c | 18,888$7,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,744.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 55c | 17,283$9,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.51 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 13,186$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.93 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 45c | 11,912$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360.54 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 45c | 11,819$5,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,318.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 73c | 11,408$8,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 42c | 8,879$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 55c | 8,535$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 55c | 8,315$4,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 7,986$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.62 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 7,304$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.65 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 6,541$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.08 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 6,351$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.38 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 42c | 6,227$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 44c | 5,766$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 4,717$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.04 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 62c | 4,716$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.22 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 4,661$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.99 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Yes | 45c | 4,271$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Yes | 23c | 4,143$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes | 24c | 4,034$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 23c | 3,977$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 7c | 3,976$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.78 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 23c | 3,907$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 45c | 3,868$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 42c | 3,640$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.89 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 42c | 3,515$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.4 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Yes | 34c | 3,111$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.48 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 3c | 2,920$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 56c | 2,608$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.46 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 58c | 2,437$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.54 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.95 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes | 45c | 2,365$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked No | 63c | 2,262$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 43c | 2,214$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.02 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Yes | 45c | 2,184$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.99 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 2,118$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.74 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 16c | 1,948$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.73 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Yes | 44c | 1,840$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked No | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.92 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes | 18c | 1,585$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked No | 55c | 1,555$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 55c | 1,497$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.52 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…74febacked Yes | 6c | 1,285$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed No | 78c | 1,265$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.33 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 55c | 1,220$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.87 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,205$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 15c | 1,196$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 44c | 1,195$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.51 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 22c | 1,083$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 39c | 1,057$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.15 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,038$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed Yes | 3c | 1,029$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…ab0cbacked No | 55c | 1,025$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 26c | 1,015$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.81 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 15c | 1,012$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 993.65$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.27 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 36c | 980.84$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.91 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 42c | 976.01$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Yes | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 44c | 953.81$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 43c | 896.75$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 43c | 874.26$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.63 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 43c | 845.16$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.42 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 19c | 808.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Yes | 42c | 804.6$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes | 42c | 758.37$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 5c | 684.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed No | 72c | 682.56$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Yes | 15c | 679.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 55c | 626.61$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.98 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 44c | 600.55$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.16 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 44c | 589.5$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 18c | 530.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.