Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc6e2f950521495d8a2649aaa2b60e431b544135714aed15e0fcf616df57898f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 52c | 22,544$11,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,821.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed No | 43c | 22,356$9,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,613.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 68c | 21,602$14,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,933.21 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 48c | 16,572$7,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,954.42 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 15,428$5,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,505.36 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 10,939$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.04 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 7,851$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.08 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 55c | 7,677$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 57c | 6,407$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.92 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 12c | 5,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 51c | 3,821$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 70c | 3,797$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.82 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 30c | 3,501$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.05 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 31c | 2,422$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 1,576$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.95 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 32c | 1,499$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…9309backed No | 45c | 967$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 71c | 754.25$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.52 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 52c | 741.78$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.21 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 6c | 642.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 2c | 578.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 6c | 485.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed No | 48c | 477.28$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 66c | 457.81$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 13c | 380.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 365.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.58 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 9c | 323.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 30c | 322.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 49c | 295.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 71c | 293.39$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 14c | 293.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 29c | 280.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed No | 10c | 277.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 71c | 260.75$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 19c | 236.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 219.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 71c | 217.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Yes | 51c | 190.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 49c | 184.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 24c | 184.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked No | 44c | 182.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 16c | 170.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…3c48backed Yes | 30c | 143.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 70c | 133.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed No | 51c | 133.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 12c | 125.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Yes | 30c | 124.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 36c | 111.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 108.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 30c | 105.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 52c | 102.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 15c | 101.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 50c | 96.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 29c | 96.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 29c | 95.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 19c | 92.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 36c | 90.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 29c | 77.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked No | 23c | 75.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed No | 50c | 72.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 63c | 64.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 30c | 63.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 70c | 61.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 54.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed No | 42c | 54.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 53.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…365fbacked Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…1643backed Yes | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 31c | 45.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 29c | 44.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…f8d4backed Yes | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed No | 47c | 41.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 53c | 39.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Yes | 56c | 38.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Yes | 52c | 38.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 55c | 37.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed No | 30c | 35.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 29c | 35.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…f6a0backed Yes | 44c | 32.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 57c | 32.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 54c | 31.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.