TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9dbf…f6a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Doumbia/Reboulbacked Krawietz/Puetz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Krajicek/Mekticbacked Bolelli/Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.5
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Nouza/Oberleitner vs Cash/Glasspoolbacked Cash/Glasspool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.21
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Rojer/Winegarbacked Arevalo/Pavic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Huergo/Korpatsch vs Noskova/Sramkovabacked Noskova/Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$19.8
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Pavlasek/Riklbacked Helioevaara/Patten · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Starodubtseva/Stearns vs Muhammad/Stollarbacked Muhammad/Stollar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Cabral/Miedlerbacked Krawietz/Puetz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$14.48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Jan Choinskibacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$16.64
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$7.35
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$19.07
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.25
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$44.47
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$104.19
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$55.69
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.6
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.8
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$42.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+193.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$31.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$18.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.