Middle East · resolved market
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdb44ce1624dbf80fe70a96e7cb027b854aa44c52cf87a6bd0bc9ea2c332c3dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $399,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 60c | 22,610$13,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,138.54 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked No | 61c | 21,344$12,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,980.71 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 37c | 18,220$6,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,401.86 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…9bf2backed No | 68c | 16,288$11,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,045 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 56c | 8,622$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 41c | 8,567$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.99 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 53c | 8,250$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.83 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 54c | 7,602$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 62c | 7,164$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.67 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 38c | 7,118$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.15 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 50c | 6,999$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.53 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…eb0bbacked No | 46c | 6,927$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed No | 66c | 6,066$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 46c | 5,949$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.12 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed No | 27c | 5,907$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.79 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79cd…079bbacked No | 58c | 5,700$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…d971backed No | 45c | 5,360$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 55c | 4,971$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.46 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked No | 57c | 4,951$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 37c | 4,781$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.36 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked Yes | 69c | 4,339$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.76 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 79c | 4,188$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.77 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 63c | 3,750$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.6 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 47c | 3,513$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.72 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 50c | 3,376$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.28 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…d312backed Yes | 62c | 3,237$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 29c | 3,167$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.33 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3c…110bbacked No | 36c | 3,118$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…6c6fbacked No | 36c | 3,080$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…d95cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,080$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.12 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 47c | 3,001$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.55 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…7fbdbacked Yes | 45c | 2,987$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.83 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 42c | 2,803$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.4 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed No | 58c | 2,757$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.4 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,730$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.38 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…03e6backed Yes | 65c | 2,513$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.69 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 36c | 2,475$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.58 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…dbbcbacked Yes | 58c | 2,446$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 54c | 2,379$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.83 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7777…9f12backed No | 48c | 2,281$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 46c | 2,250$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.06 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…6fb0backed No | 55c | 2,205$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 57c | 2,193$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.05 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…ce33backed No | 66c | 2,126$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed No | 65c | 2,037$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.51 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed No | 50c | 2,016$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 48c | 2,006$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9057backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 43c | 2,000$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.31 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 37c | 1,992$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.85 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 29c | 1,982$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.99 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 58c | 1,866$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.96 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 47c | 1,862$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.65 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 59c | 1,800$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.99 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…af89backed No | 66c | 1,795$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.06 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked No | 69c | 1,781$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.28 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 63c | 1,730$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.25 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 74c | 1,715$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.19 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 48c | 1,700$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.99 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 50c | 1,686$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 62c | 1,650$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.19 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 2c | 1,640$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 38c | 1,600$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed No | 40c | 1,510$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.38 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 39c | 1,442$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.72 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 31c | 1,440$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.65 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,434$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb1…4547backed No | 75c | 1,424$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…cb83backed Yes | 34c | 1,410$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…8aefbacked Yes | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Yes | 72c | 1,386$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.08 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Yes | 75c | 1,381$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 57c | 1,340$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 61c | 1,271$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.13 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 1,199$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…dec4backed No | 55c | 1,198$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.93 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 38c | 1,142$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.92 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…cd14backed Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…135dbacked No | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…4952backed Yes | 47c | 1,094$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.51 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked Yes | 78c | 1,078$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 47c | 1,068$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…2322backed Yes | 38c | 1,036$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…abe1backed No | 42c | 1,002$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…1e66backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebf…5bfabacked Yes | 52c | 999.84$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.95 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…b4e5backed Yes | 34c | 949.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 50c | 924.97$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.1 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…fdecbacked Yes | 38c | 919.64$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.38 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 65c | 891.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 13c | 873$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…7c7bbacked No | 59c | 841.34$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 74c | 834.22$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 46c | 799.98$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.99 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc957…243fbacked No | 62c | 775.1$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc32f…9627backed No | 65c | 768.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked Yes | 44c | 766.65$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.76 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.