TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66c1…fa3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
385
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT13145.8%60 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13,316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$9,200.33
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,452.72
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.84
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,848.1%+$2,844.11
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$89.91
Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$503.07
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,546Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$454.34
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+105.6%+$93.48
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,519Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$1,479.98
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+71.5%+$176.03
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,701Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+76.3%+$1,297.98
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.71
Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.69
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.07
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+199.9%+$333.55
Will Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$43.33
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during announcement today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during announcement today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.5
Will Trump say "Thank you" 7+ times during announcement today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+89.8%+$212.9
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+117.3%+$177.08
Will Trump say "Border" 5+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.87
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.3
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.14
Will Trump say "Slopadopoulos" or "ABC Fake News" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.5
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT7856.4%44 W · 34 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+171.6%+$1,894.63
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$395.22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,094Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$8,905.59
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$3,466.53
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,945.35
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,001.06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,054.89
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,024.42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070.16
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,236.84
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$948.12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,074.58
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$339.66
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,795Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$928.71
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.88
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+703.3%+$2,625.63
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.81
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$203.22
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "President" or "Trump" 20+ times during press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+89.4%+$263.4
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4045%18 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$514.02
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$739.63
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,673.49
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$439.26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$509.86
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" or "boat" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$92.54
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$204.8
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$53.96
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$392.79
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56%+$486.48
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+71.1%+$187
Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,048Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$268.31
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$433.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,708.23
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$274.25
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,434Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$746.48
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+133.9%+$444.92
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,805Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$2,194.24
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+222.5%+$177.33
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.58
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.49
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+121.2%+$419.78
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST3063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Eight and a Quarter War" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Trump say "Low-IQ" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$461.99
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.3%+$44.35
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$191.48
Will Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+105.5%+$98.59
Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+184.3%+$70.97
Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.5%+$89.99
Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "ICE" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+103%+$189.38
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$62
Will Trump say "Doug" or "Burgum" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+62.8%+$254.6
Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+65.7%+$195.58
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.6%+$248.15
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+63.7%+$220.17
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$7,784.78
Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$472.19
Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34.15
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+41.3%+$34.86
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.74
Will Trump say "Too Late" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21.65
Will Trump say "Baby" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.65
Will Trump say "Trump Family" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+151.3%+$36.66
Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$120.64
Will Trump say "Military Equipment" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$29.7
Will Trump say "China" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.4%+$38.6
Will Trump say "Nuclear" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$66
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.9
Will "Barrel" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.72
Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.6
Will "Barrel" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$26.08
Will "Sam" or "Altman" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$94.29
Will "Polymarket" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$33.93
Will "Strait of Hormuz" or "Hormuz Strait" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$22.1
Will "Ayatollah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will "Wild" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will "Rail" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+211.9%+$152.66
Will "Guard" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+156.1%+$64
Will "Dario" or "Amodei" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will "Sam" or "Altman" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Trump say "Stock" or "401(k)" or "Roof" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$151.07
Will Trump say "Manhattan" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Trump say "Google" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29%+$32.6
Will Trump say "Tariff" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.1%+$87.52
Will Trump say "Meta" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.97
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.9%+$41.49
Will "Biden" or "Kamala" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+48.5%+$9.31
Will Sam Altman say "AMD" during TBPN appearance on October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.54
Will Elon Musk say "Ad format" during the August 6 AMA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk say "Imagine/Veo" 3 or more times during the August 6 AMA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.81
Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.21
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.53
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$78.14
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+402.7%+$186.78
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$72
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$31.89
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.83
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.87
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.49
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$257.08
Will Warsh say "Maximum Employment" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$127.73
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,183.74
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Powell say "Alumni" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.12
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.11
Will Powell say "Parents" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$43.9
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.39
Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+124.9%+$203.24
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$503.3
Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+186.3%+$701.21
Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will King Charles say "Ukraine" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$431.99
Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+205.4%+$604.61
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$324.71
Will Trump say "King" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.12
Will Trump say "Boeing" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$85.63
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$70.82
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.4
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.6
Will Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+99.1%+$791.22
Will Trump say "Steel" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$64.07
Will Trump say "Ship" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+73.4%+$456.45
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Macron presser today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.24
Will Trump say "Apple" during Macron presser today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$78.4
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$944.18
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Donald Trump say "DEI" or "Diversity Equity and Inclusion" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45.85
Will Donald Trump say "China" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$355.51
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$441.92
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$314.19
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Will Donald Trump say "Trudeau" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$122.48
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$48.69
Will Donald Trump say "Panama" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$427.91
Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+244.9%+$379.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.22
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$72.5
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$461.45
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.25
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.72
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.62
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+171.6%+$209.66
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.82
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.3%+$920.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick27cpaid+350.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+201%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+201%+$661.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+134.2%+$196
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,555Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+130.3%+$3,328.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+33.3%+$8.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,437Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$801.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$81.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during astronaut greeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Scare" or "Scared" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.