Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x820c249986044ad3ab808a4fb401f355a97eeac28d1e905ea37c849700e9cfd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,280,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,012,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,280,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea0e…2eefbacked Yes | 4c | 115,666$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…41babacked Yes | 16c | 87,009$13,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,921.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da5…1025backed Yes | 17c | 65,742$11,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,176.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 16,551$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.58 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 6c | 16,004$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.7 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb056…ba73backed Yes | 7c | 15,565$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 15,227$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.03 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…574fbacked Yes | 8c | 13,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 12,625$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…22a0backed Yes | 5c | 11,736$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 27c | 10,127$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…08ecbacked Yes | 6c | 10,002$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 7c | 9,299$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 1c | 9,031$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked Yes | 9c | 8,788$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c05…0205backed Yes | 7c | 7,720$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 17c | 7,690$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…77d9backed Yes | 19c | 7,329$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 13c | 7,321$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.82 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 18c | 7,311$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…7058backed Yes | 26c | 6,799$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Yes | 8c | 6,470$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…adc4backed Yes | 5c | 6,409$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7777…ff98backed Yes | 9c | 5,871$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…59a1backed Yes | 6c | 5,662$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 5,574$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.13 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…2b13backed Yes | 1c | 5,519$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 18c | 5,473$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b7…b59cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,019$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 10c | 5,006$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…c599backed Yes | 10c | 5,003$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 4,572$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.35 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…78b8backed Yes | 4c | 4,514$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 10c | 4,396$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.36 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 15c | 4,372$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.52 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 7c | 4,290$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609e…a64fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,092$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…7500backed Yes | 4c | 3,890$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…8159backed Yes | 9c | 3,486$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 8c | 3,330$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 80c | 3,130$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed Yes | 6c | 3,125$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…b035backed Yes | 6c | 3,049$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 12c | 3,046$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.7 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…0405backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de9…a126backed Yes | 10c | 2,975$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…c4b6backed Yes | 4c | 2,843$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,776$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 5c | 2,727$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed Yes | 7c | 2,699$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…9357backed Yes | 33c | 2,680$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…dfe9backed Yes | 14c | 2,628$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Yes | 6c | 2,626$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…7f98backed Yes | 6c | 2,623$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…81e8backed Yes | 5c | 2,576$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a5…f001backed Yes | 21c | 2,515$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…874dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,478$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 3c | 2,458$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 7c | 2,346$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.51 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 9c | 2,327$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Yes | 9c | 2,300$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ee…27cfbacked Yes | 12c | 2,267$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…255abacked Yes | 7c | 2,247$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,212$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 20c | 2,076$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,068$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939b…9cd7backed Yes | 3c | 2,051$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…b58ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,027$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…5cfbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,006$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…666fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,004$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 2c | 1,996$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 9c | 1,925$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 67c | 1,885$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 5c | 1,800$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 12c | 1,734$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…4cd0backed Yes | 13c | 1,731$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,710$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,709$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 8c | 1,703$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 8c | 1,700$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed Yes | 19c | 1,696$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…89bebacked Yes | 6c | 1,600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…5f84backed Yes | 6c | 1,582$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…78b2backed Yes | 7c | 1,580$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,557$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…8978backed Yes | 32c | 1,547$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…a44bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,540$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…8cf3backed Yes | 7c | 1,530$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…f570backed Yes | 11c | 1,524$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…eb6fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,506$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,504$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…b081backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Yes | 10c | 1,487$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 9c | 1,456$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…4d62backed Yes | 4c | 1,451$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…ae99backed Yes | 11c | 1,426$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?this page
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.