Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777c48a36a064675a0a95112c12f54cda0b1caf9a64f7450fde31a8a8212af5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,282,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,078,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,282,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,809 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba4e…44a1backed Yes | 32c | 54,702$17,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,197.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…faa5backed No | 68c | 54,702$37,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,197.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 63c | 51,241$32,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,080.41 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2066…80dcbacked No | 78c | 45,124$35,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,196.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8f…0e47backed Yes | 22c | 45,124$9,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,196.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…2eefbacked No | 3c | 44,247$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 36c | 43,330$15,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,685.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed No | 0c | 43,041$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 9c | 42,627$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 59c | 36,097$21,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,624.35 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…c2fcbacked No | 9c | 34,970$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 37c | 32,213$11,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,824.61 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…36c8backed No | 59c | 30,028$17,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,716.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…8d7fbacked Yes | 41c | 30,028$12,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,716.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked No | 40c | 28,959$11,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,445.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 55c | 22,240$12,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,125.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 49c | 21,900$10,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,065.65 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 63c | 20,684$13,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610.26 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 8c | 20,650$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.61 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 63c | 20,648$13,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,596.57 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b7…b59cbacked No | 0c | 19,958$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 9c | 19,370$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.38 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…adc4backed No | 13c | 19,116$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…2dd5backed No | 9c | 19,015$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed No | 22c | 17,506$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 5c | 17,183$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed No | 12c | 17,000$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 61c | 16,937$10,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,535.86 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…bbd7backed No | 11c | 16,740$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2893…1534backed No | 23c | 15,949$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6348…0fafbacked No | 7c | 15,939$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…8de3backed No | 45c | 14,551$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 19c | 14,384$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…81e9backed No | 9c | 14,107$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed No | 4c | 12,781$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2436…1858backed No | 8c | 12,734$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed Yes | 60c | 12,263$7,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d11…3d1abacked No | 9c | 11,704$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…00f4backed No | 12c | 11,196$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 50c | 11,164$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 53c | 11,160$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,248.91 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 3c | 10,834$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.69 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 8c | 10,745$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed No | 25c | 10,206$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 10c | 10,047$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.29 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe771…1251backed No | 6c | 9,789$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 39c | 9,598$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.94 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…90e3backed No | 14c | 9,473$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 62c | 9,425$5,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.74 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…b5f3backed No | 21c | 9,423$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Yes | 52c | 9,410$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb5…5c36backed No | 10c | 9,345$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 9,024$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.37 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 10c | 8,979$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.18 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 71c | 8,968$6,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.96 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 14c | 8,840$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.8 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 11c | 8,345$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.62 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…e0b8backed Yes | 21c | 8,210$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 32c | 7,989$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,398.45 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50d…7979backed No | 38c | 7,891$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked No | 13c | 7,595$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked Yes | 17c | 7,468$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,178.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4be…76b7backed No | 42c | 7,359$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…6a63backed No | 17c | 7,120$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed No | 79c | 7,040$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.36 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 10c | 6,796$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.03 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 44c | 6,774$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…15c4backed No | 45c | 6,637$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc3…3e38backed No | 41c | 6,593$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…fd14backed No | 31c | 6,485$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked No | 40c | 6,453$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 36c | 6,030$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.32 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 6,019$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Yes | 80c | 6,000$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.08 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed No | 30c | 6,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…fb50backed No | 19c | 5,946$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 58c | 5,901$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.43 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed No | 27c | 5,892$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.77 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…f088backed No | 12c | 5,822$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 47c | 5,789$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 24c | 5,767$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.55 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed No | 59c | 5,685$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.65 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 40c | 5,620$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.03 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…881cbacked No | 11c | 5,593$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 2c | 5,358$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked No | 40c | 5,321$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…c4b0backed No | 1c | 5,283$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 25c | 5,250$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.57 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 41c | 5,207$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.65 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed No | 17c | 5,187$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.08 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 61c | 5,154$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…cf74backed No | 6c | 5,149$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed No | 45c | 5,145$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…46c2backed No | 43c | 5,131$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08c…8993backed No | 31c | 5,121$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…b041backed No | 38c | 5,116$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed No | 9c | 5,000$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…f455backed Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?this page
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.