Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x635e9e233a8a58b771d845c90a51d21602b7caeabe01c07fa1192cc8e2f72863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,041,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $643,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,041,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d11…3d1abacked Yes | 1c | 32,739$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 1c | 27,044$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.16 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Yes | 6c | 18,432$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 17,858$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…22a0backed Yes | 1c | 17,676$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 16,358$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.15 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 10,861$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.72 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…4cbdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,370$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…0405backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 8,285$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…2b13backed Yes | 0c | 7,830$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…4e6bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,620$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 12c | 7,400$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…255abacked Yes | 8c | 7,182$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 3c | 6,683$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 2c | 6,640$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bc…0810backed Yes | 5c | 5,906$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 2c | 5,545$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 1c | 5,473$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…a599backed Yes | 1c | 5,370$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,276$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Yes | 0c | 5,124$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…5e96backed Yes | 1c | 5,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…22c7backed Yes | 1c | 5,070$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 5,011$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…a121backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ee…27cfbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 7c | 4,473$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.81 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,461$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,407$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 4,334$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…874dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,187$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 9c | 4,064$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.13 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 0c | 4,040$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…9c32backed Yes | 1c | 3,770$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…7196backed Yes | 3c | 3,720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…7756backed Yes | 5c | 3,658$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…dfe9backed Yes | 4c | 3,549$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,493$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,179$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.04 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 1c | 3,178$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…adc4backed Yes | 3c | 3,086$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…ca85backed Yes | 1c | 2,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,869$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…8b77backed Yes | 2c | 2,566$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 1c | 2,431$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…3c0dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,377$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,225$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 1c | 2,193$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Yes | 1c | 2,087$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…78fcbacked Yes | 10c | 2,043$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939b…9cd7backed Yes | 1c | 2,029$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 5c | 2,024$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…e62abacked Yes | 6c | 2,024$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…30fcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2893…1534backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…706bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,982$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Yes | 8c | 1,941$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 1c | 1,940$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Yes | 2c | 1,866$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…f1a4backed Yes | 6c | 1,863$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…f6bdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,860$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 5c | 1,846$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 5c | 1,787$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,725$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…33efbacked Yes | 3c | 1,715$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…9357backed Yes | 29c | 1,707$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…9fdfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,681$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…ce61backed Yes | 6c | 1,602$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…54ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 6c | 1,498$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,462$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…530abacked Yes | 2c | 1,458$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 10c | 1,431$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…0a58backed Yes | 1c | 1,429$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…4076backed Yes | 6c | 1,426$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…adeabacked Yes | 2c | 1,374$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 3c | 1,368$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,345$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…ce0abacked Yes | 2c | 1,289$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…2788backed Yes | 1c | 1,272$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…0741backed Yes | 2c | 1,265$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d8…6698backed Yes | 2c | 1,259$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 3c | 1,254$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,234$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,229$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…6a63backed Yes | 4c | 1,220$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 12c | 1,200$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…fdf3backed Yes | 2c | 1,156$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…1989backed Yes | 9c | 1,154$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 12c | 1,151$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6416…f1c5backed Yes | 2c | 1,142$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…c2fcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,141$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 4c | 1,133$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…a91cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,088$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…53d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,083$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?this page
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.