TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8ae…f471

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
486
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst Music at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT14251.4%73 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+237.1%+$1,121.51
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$196.43
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$248.27
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.27
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$864.1
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,968Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$555.44
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$448
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$263.76
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,014.92
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$476.51
Spread: Heat (-15.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$796.51
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$283.81
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$401.76
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,173.51
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,615Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$667.11
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$843.94
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4266.7%28 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.88
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$261.77
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,716Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+43%+$738
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,977Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25.3%+$501.12
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.1%+$40.3
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2.97
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.3%+$22.02
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$40
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.75
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57.3%+$24.74
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.9%+$32.84
Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.9%+$25.72
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.1%+$64.35
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.96
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.7%+$34.33
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.58
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+55.3%+$34.25
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$99
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.5%+$57.15
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,734Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.1%+$1,237.03
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+34.4%+$133
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+58.4%+$104.81
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,844Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.9%+$1,903.99
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$177.93
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,236.28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$2,378.63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$260
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$599.98
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$139.84
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$318.26
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$1,212.37
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$1,077.86
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$202.5
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$1,635.15
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$2,625.5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$229.11
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,091Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$2,053.78
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$458
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.38
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37.7%+$196.02
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+69.8%+$5,044.68
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$610
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$901.21
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST3652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$385.91
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,417Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+70.9%+$1,004.25
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+81.9%+$758.27
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.9%+$259
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,989Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+121%+$3,618.29
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$141
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37.8%+$54.9
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$599
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$912.52
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$249.75
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$705
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$750
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+233.3%+$700
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$45.6
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$540
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$405.48
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$680
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+75.8%+$496
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$315
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$210
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$722.69
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3177.4%24 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.09
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.31
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$523.75
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$1,014.12
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$439.44
Will the announcers say "Combination" or "Sequence" 5+ times during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.9
Will the announcers say "Blood" or "Bloody" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.73
Will the announcers say "White House" or "Trump" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$486.72
Will the announcers say "Takedown" or "Take down" 5+ times during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$17.52
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,327.82
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+25.4%+$410.95
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+71.8%+$208.84
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+88%+$853.18
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Donte Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,012Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+27.3%+$549.39
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$188.52
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,761.91
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$270
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$210
UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+73.6%+$432.86
UFC Fight Night: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43.9%+$152.5
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Regina Tarin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.6%+$131.87
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Pinas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$77.5
Will the announcers say "Surprise" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.7%+$37.55
Will the announcers say "Strategy" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,576Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$612.88
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,934Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$744.07
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$484.53
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.57
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$613.64
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$1,161.88
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.88
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.92
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$102.11
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$237.11
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$239.76
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.1
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$339.86
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Argentina to score first vs. Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$151.37
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$724.42
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$207.23
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.34
All 23 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$401.16
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$181.47
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.62
Will GoPro (GPRO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$206.6
Will Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.8%+$27.14
Will Cracker Barrel (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will StubHub (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+60.8%+$206.79
Will Warner Bros (WBD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.71
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$808.9
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+31.5%+$247.39
Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$147.77
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.7%+$86.8
Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$17.82
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.2%+$137.5
Will Nike say "Direct to Consumer / DTC" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$54.25
Will Nike say "Amazon" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$186.77
Will Costco say "Revenue" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42
Will Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+123.9%+$40.44
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+37%+$9.47
All 19 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$622.91
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$197.98
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$108.57
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$285
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$509.15
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$188.78
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42.98
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+123.5%+$123.54
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+159.6%+$1,197.57
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+30.4%+$154.68
Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+79.4%+$539.21
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.06
Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$104
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.39
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$855.2
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,695.98
BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$315.54
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
BNP Paribas Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.84
BNP Paribas Open: Maria Sakkari vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$255.23
BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$124.44
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,954Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$824.09
BNP Paribas Open: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$1,025.63
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,561Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$810.62
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$660
Brisbane International: Nick Kyrgios vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$430
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$57.7
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$178.6
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$1,406.09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$80.54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,032
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,649Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.4%+$3,218.96
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.6%+$29.88
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+27.9%+$109
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+46.8%+$79.75
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+32.1%+$48.55
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$325.09
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$2,942.19
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,247.48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,524Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+46.8%+$712.75
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+82.5%+$378.39
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.7%+$380
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.4%+$575
Will Solana dip to $110 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,735Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+102.3%+$1,774.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+87.4%+$87.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.01
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.71
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,903Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47%+$895.23
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$801.36
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$373.83
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$325.43
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$499
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$306.45
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+120.6%+$487.84
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$536.28
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 12 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Manziel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$265.68
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$59.95
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+30.9%+$440.44
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,209.6
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$4,797.17
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$411.64
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37%+$32.05
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$144.33
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+70.6%+$107.46
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+38.6%+$580
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,638
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+87.2%+$159.69
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.3%+$74.55
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+33.7%+$126.05
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.3
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$238
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$128.38
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$125
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+85.1%+$459.69
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$256
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,789Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$1,181.11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$291.18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$152.42
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,581Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$819.38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$261.87
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+249.1%+$249.14
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.74
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.21
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$440.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$91.99
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.5%+$251
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,394
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+86.4%+$1,193.5
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+251.7%+$1,218.51
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$96.62
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$665
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+30.7%+$376
All 8 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.1%+$49.33
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+203%+$444.64
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,146.1
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.4%+$495.46
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.9%+$318
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$2,145.49
All 7 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+123%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-10.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$325
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,953Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.8%+$1,735.71
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bearsbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+212.5%+$85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,596Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.1%+$527.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.