Earnings · resolved market
Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48202130ab23b7f637370d66310f633c07d081e2200ea6ee4529ac7ae7e0c60b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 6,891$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 15c | 1,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 10c | 723.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked Yes | 69c | 505.36$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 68c | 504.08$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 22c | 422.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 311$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 27c | 173.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 19c | 173$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 71c | 164.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked Yes | 75c | 133.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 25c | 117.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 73c | 85.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…58cabacked No | 19c | 85.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 73c | 74.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 29c | 70.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 21c | 67.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 71c | 61.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 57.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +12.8wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…74dcbacked Yes | 74c | 48.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…21f7backed No | 38c | 48.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 80c | 47.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 28c | 46.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…20ddbacked No | 39c | 46.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bf…d1f4backed Yes | 74c | 40.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…aa24backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…d493backed Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…7e9abacked Yes | 72c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…b348backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.