TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd555…e28a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
680
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: AI, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT35958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 359 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+339.2%+$340.62
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.77
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$671.2
Will Nike be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Will Nike be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.36
Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.69
Will the announcers say "Record" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.52
Will the announcers say "Resilience" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will the announcers say "Corner" 22+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will the announcers say "Shot" 15+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will the announcers say "Rhythm" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.99
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will the announcers say "Convert" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.35
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.12
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Showing 25 of 359 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT21639.4%85 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 216 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$136
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Verizon say "Leverage" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.61
Will Intel say "Government" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Union Pacific (UNP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Tesla say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will Tesla say "Texas" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.85
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will General Motors say "GMC" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$141.92
Will General Motors say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$81.55
Will Netflix say "Squid Game" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$141.16
Will United Airlines say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.19
Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.73
Will Bank of America say "Recession" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.51
Will JPMorgan say "Dollar" 10+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$406.83
Will Bank of America say "Expansion" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.39
Will JPMorgan say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Delta Air Lines say "Occupancy" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.3
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$48.67
Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 216 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$26.07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.29
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.75
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.63
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.67
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$25.88
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$79.2
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$28.5
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+216.8%+$136.34
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$120.85
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$231.3
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$77.6
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.75 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$220.48
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.7%+$50.39
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.44
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.6%+$14
Cardinals vs. Saintsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+522.3%+$1,091.08
Will Patrick Mahomes score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+26.6%+$67.2
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$239
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.17
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$304.4
Will the Las Vegas Raiders finish with the worst record in the NFL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $850B by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$14.16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$193
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+82%+$1,035.97
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$238.41
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.63
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$792.85
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.82
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.85
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$815.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+117.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,626Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$1,173.99
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$353.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$105.87
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+59%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+217.9%+$754
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$997.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.5-3.75 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$40.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.