Earnings · resolved market
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d8840d8a244fce9e1ef8ef712402e7fc738290362516e3bb7eba57fc690abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe000…cbb1backed Yes | 45c | 382.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | +22.4wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 32c | 312$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 59c | 196.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…fcf8backed Yes | 45c | 148.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed No | 55c | 138.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 55c | 129.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 68c | 118.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…21e8backed Yes | 36c | 79.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked No | 72c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0ce8backed No | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe495…4a5bbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 48c | 59.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 181 | 35.4%64 W · 117 L | -14.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 28c | 49.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…12afbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…504ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.