TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe000…cbb1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
280
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Earnings, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 65 out of 100; worst Commodities at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT14171.6%101 W · 40 L+22.4wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
Earnings — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58%+$20.2
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.55
Will RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$14.19
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.1
Will Akamai Techs (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$7
Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Will Hertz (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.72
Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Peloton Interactive (PTON) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$34.4
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$42.55
Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.85
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.65
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.3
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.8
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.55
Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$31.45
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$14.04
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.83
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8441.7%35 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$153.19
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.02
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$297.43
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.96
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+238.4%+$1,451.89
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$968.2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.9
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+131%+$604.01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$59.61
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$108.66
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.88
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$134.34
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,063.06
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-66%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$127.91
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$46.62
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,579.05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$60.88
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.35
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.83
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,802.79
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.16
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.79
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.04
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,527.02
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,606.3
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.04
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$195.04
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.87
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.9
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-72.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.9
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.01
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+225.9%+$110.9
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.29
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.