NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf842a02565edf8ec03a1235d6cfe9de7c9f3d64d1749b3c41f3d18850af64565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 781 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 25c | 19,869$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.72 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Thunder | 72c | 17,824$12,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,019.54 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 6c | 16,956$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 0c | 15,930$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…9965backed Magic | 29c | 12,594$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…b7a4backed Magic | 30c | 12,356$3,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Magic | 28c | 10,499$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.81 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 18c | 9,023$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.38 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…cfd0backed Thunder | 71c | 7,007$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…6440backed Thunder | 71c | 5,834$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…ce8bbacked Thunder | 71c | 5,827$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Magic | 31c | 5,751$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.14 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Magic | 29c | 5,726$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.14 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Thunder | 73c | 5,479$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.08 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 22c | 5,344$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.43 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 30c | 4,935$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.48 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…77eebacked Thunder | 72c | 4,608$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 27c | 4,015$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.54 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Magic | 13c | 3,900$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.02 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…9f73backed Thunder | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 29c | 3,292$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.47 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 28c | 3,286$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.78 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 1c | 3,175$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…5a27backed Magic | 28c | 3,111$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Magic | 1c | 3,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Thunder | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…b998backed Magic | 28c | 2,797$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Thunder | 71c | 2,563$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.38 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 69c | 2,435$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.71 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 4c | 2,367$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 30c | 2,340$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.14 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Thunder | 72c | 2,335$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.1 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 29c | 2,322$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.06 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Magic | 3c | 2,075$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Thunder | 71c | 1,645$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.74 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Magic | 18c | 1,565$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Magic | 31c | 1,560$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.18 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Magic | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Thunder | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…3e5cbacked Thunder | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Magic | 26c | 1,187$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.85 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…ccbabacked Thunder | 72c | 1,181$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…1ab9backed Thunder | 72c | 1,148$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…1eaabacked Thunder | 69c | 1,117$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Thunder | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…a7efbacked Magic | 31c | 1,111$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Thunder | 70c | 1,107$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Magic | 31c | 1,029$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…0081backed Thunder | 69c | 1,023$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +144%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb5…b6b6backed Magic | 31c | 1,023$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Thunder | 70c | 1,020$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.01 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…e250backed Magic | 32c | 1,007$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…05f6backed Magic | 31c | 1,005$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be3…abcdbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,005$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Thunder | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Magic | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5066…82fdbacked Magic | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…1c1abacked Thunder | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Thunder | 80c | 1,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Magic | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 24c | 966.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Thunder | 73c | 913.47$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.47 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Thunder | 72c | 906.64$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.86 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Magic | 11c | 879.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Thunder | 69c | 835.2$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.82 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Thunder | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Thunder | 72c | 785$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 78c | 771.77$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Magic | 23c | 728.58$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Thunder | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Magic | 26c | 716.27$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.06 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Magic | 23c | 707.86$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…e4eebacked Thunder | 71c | 705.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Magic | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Thunder | 71c | 650$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Magic | 29c | 649.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…887ebacked Magic | 31c | 609.89$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…0917backed Thunder | 69c | 609.89$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 14c | 608.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11af…24d7backed Thunder | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Magic | 29c | 568.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Thunder | 71c | 527.48$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Thunder | 74c | 525.03$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.86 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 72c | 520.83$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Magic | 32c | 512$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.37 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…57a2backed Magic | 29c | 509.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd926…4755backed Thunder | 71c | 509.56$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed Magic | 34c | 502.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.57 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…4211backed Thunder | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Thunder | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…b9f6backed Magic | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 31c | 478.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Magic | 27c | 467.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b09…1df4backed Magic | 30c | 461.41$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…277dbacked Thunder | 70c | 460$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.