AI · resolved market
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d0461aa12431ab267442beb3ed3a61ef5badb27d60fcafd4776e5300cde350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 3c | 993.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…0b14backed Yes | 10c | 523.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes | 28c | 280$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 72c | 114.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…deaabacked No | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 64c | 72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked Yes | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…483abacked No | 71c | 65.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 33c | 53.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…7977backed No | 71c | 49.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…beaabacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 76c | 31.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 35c | 31.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 34c | 31.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…ea65backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…e294backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…1202backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…cc54backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…3047backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?this page
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $8.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $8.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $4.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.