TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x721a…9295

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,494
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 57 out of 100; worst Movies at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT58358%338 W · 245 L-2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 583 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.65
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.3
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will there be at least 2550 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.45
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.2
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.62
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.72
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.84
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Showing 25 of 583 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT16246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 162 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.23
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.24
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Will Donald Trump be shown 3-5 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.63
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.62
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$29.93
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65%+$135.94
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will a Goal be Scored During 31-45 Minute?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will a Goal be Scored During 61-75 Minute?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Adele perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$65.09
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$56.28
Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.6
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.12
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.93
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Showing 25 of 162 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10344.7%46 W · 57 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.2
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$7.29
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.52
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.59
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.35
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+247.8%+$213.75
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.5
Will there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.72
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$11.06
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$4.29
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.7
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.17
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$18.87
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT9750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.8
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+174%+$25.4
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+110%+$14.77
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$17.98
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$22.05
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.17
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$26.25
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.69
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+55%+$37.27
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT8150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.93
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.08
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.76
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$30.08
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.66
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$34.58
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.46
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+424%+$64.34
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$35.96
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$34.33
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.83
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT5628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $55B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $19B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.67
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,131.2%+$570.4
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.87
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$147.96
Will Microsoft dip to $390 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$20.38
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit $170 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.88
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $380 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$255.6
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $230 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Apple (AAPL) hit $245 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $105-$110 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$89.1
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $260–265 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.73
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.96
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.08
Will Apple reach $288 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49.39
Will Amazon dip to $208 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.96
Will Google reach $335 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Airbnb dip to $110 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37.72
Will Amazon reach $260 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$57.51
Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Airbnb reach $136 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Will NVIDIA reach $224 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.13
Will Palantir reach $264 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$33.75
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.72
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$16.89
Will George Moraitis be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will Francesca Hong win Milwaukee County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$9.89
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 20–25%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.09
Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.32
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$157.64
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.62
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.35
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of August 10 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$12.5
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.95
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.67
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.32
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.46
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of July 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.04
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.75
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.42
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24.13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.53
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5044%22 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.08
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.38
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$23.25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.97
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.27
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.8
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$33.77
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.41
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.23
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+60%+$19.69
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+32%+$12.73
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$15.85
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.97
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$61.27
Will Susan Collins vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$153.18
Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$91.3
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$270.92
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–45.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.2
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.31
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.39
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.33
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.7
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.32
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.45
Will Laura Loomer join Trump administration by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.68
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+566.7%+$160.26
Will Dan Crenshaw vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$37.05
Will exactly 58 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will Kevin Spacey be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Prince Andrew be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.17
Will Jay-Z be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.52
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.71
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$28.76
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.26
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$150.65
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$168.8
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.58
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+212.5%+$55.56
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$87.25
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.89
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$113.96
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$163.46
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+614.3%+$143.08
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.5
Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.69
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$63
Will Russia capture Stepanivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.27
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Movies — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "Fantastic" be said during the next Avengers: Doomsday trailer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.85
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.85
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.93
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$38
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.84
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.16
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$81
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$55.68
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 53m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.9
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$82
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$11.55
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.82
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$219
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$133.14
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$42.59
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40.65
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57.6
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$48.51
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32.1
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+25%+$23.69
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$54.7
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+315.4%+$258.46
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$41.07
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.21
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$327.36
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$11.26
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group think" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.3
Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.35
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.89
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.16
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$51.48
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.84
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Will the Fed cut-pause-cut in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$115.71
Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$100
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.89
All 23 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.36
Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$257.04
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+300%+$59.72
Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.36
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$150.57
Will Otis Worldwide (OTIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$74.06
Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$105.56
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$498.96
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$404.19
Will Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.78
Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.24
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.02
Over $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$13.52
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Over $15M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+213.9%+$27.94
Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.03
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.6
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$15
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.15
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,285.35
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.07
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+76.7%+$22.74
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$58.32
Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Lost Weekend" - Phoebe Bridgers first week album sales be between 75k and 90k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will "GOLDEN HOUR: Part.5 - ATEEZ" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will "Choosin’ Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$29.4
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$528.96
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.92
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$45.56
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.62
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+1,150%+$191.38
Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?backed Boy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Taylor Swift mention Travis Kelce on her new album?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$73.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be less than $16B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$9.34
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.66
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.7B and $3.3B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$37.14
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.72
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$43.5
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.6
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$69.82
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$34.95
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.61
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$909.84
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will Bill Gates buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tim Cook buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$183.95
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$31.92
Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.96
Will Mike McDaniel be the next coach fired?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$45.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HEROIC make a roster change before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will 3DMAX Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will G2 Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$25.83
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.91
Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.69
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will G2 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$63.05
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$30.97
Will there be a Zeus kill in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.78
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+182.5%+$33.49
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.65
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.52
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.84
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100.32
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.87
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-69.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+139.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.35
D4v41 to have the most killsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ty Simpson win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.