World Politics · resolved market
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fd825361769e490723ac8dba1478d29abe99572423b8faa8739aa958ef2cd7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 10c | 4,389$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 20c | 4,277$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.04 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed No | 75c | 3,600$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked Yes | 76c | 2,300$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 1c | 1,890$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 36c | 1,687$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.67 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 69c | 1,511$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.59 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 13c | 1,433$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.34 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,319$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.76 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 66c | 1,280$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.75 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 49c | 1,261$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 14c | 1,146$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.93 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 28c | 1,023$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.81 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 71c | 962.96$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.24 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…b5c3backed No | 37c | 810.07$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…330ebacked No | 21c | 783$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 24c | 775.24$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 24c | 666.05$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8a8abacked No | 17c | 581.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 62c | 509.59$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.35 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed No | 17c | 450$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 28c | 438.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed Yes | 65c | 438.43$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 14c | 393.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 385.43$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.57 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 23c | 380.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 36c | 364.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.11 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked No | 55c | 362.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 16c | 320.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Yes | 50c | 315.81$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 9c | 291.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 71c | 289.67$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 10c | 286$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed No | 16c | 279.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 276.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 22c | 270$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 45c | 262.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2af1…6b27backed No | 14c | 255$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked No | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed No | 26c | 232.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 220$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…78babacked No | 18c | 216$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 25c | 215.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 12c | 209.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed No | 12c | 195.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 24c | 194.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 7c | 186.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 34c | 186.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…d7cdbacked No | 22c | 181$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 26c | 176$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 62c | 169.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…a1b8backed No | 32c | 167$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 15c | 159.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed No | 12c | 150.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 74c | 149.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed No | 39c | 146.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…eb3bbacked No | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 128$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…3c35backed Yes | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…8ab9backed Yes | 60c | 119$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 50c | 118.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…9202backed Yes | 68c | 114.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…97eabacked No | 39c | 113.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…6148backed Yes | 18c | 112.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +451%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked No | 27c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 56c | 108.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…f868backed No | 45c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428f…5d1bbacked No | 39c | 100.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…310abacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…db8dbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec49…5975backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…5ed7backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 27c | 97.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…ef25backed Yes | 67c | 96.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 21c | 96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 69c | 88.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…7190backed Yes | 28c | 87.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 14c | 85.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b38abacked No | 36c | 84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…2fffbacked No | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…9180backed No | 36c | 84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…3241backed No | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…f0fcbacked No | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked Yes | 73c | 83.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 49c | 80.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…f8bfbacked Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0399…dff7backed No | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…38f8backed No | 16c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will John Healey be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Mike Tapp be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.