World Politics · resolved market
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x710513b35f3822a7528e99a7afd1c115d03b8ae071a5f786ec1c9c5cd38a90dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 8c | 4,276$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.36 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,140$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.27 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 64c | 650.55$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 420.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 307.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 15c | 244.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 171.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 19c | 164.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 156$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 18c | 138.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 15c | 136.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 9c | 134.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 12c | 133.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 67c | 121.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Yes | 25c | 118.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1904…fd8abacked Yes | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…cc69backed Yes | 12c | 97.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 16c | 83.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed No | 45c | 82.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +182.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb453…bed9backed Yes | 33c | 78.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 40c | 78.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 69.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…71b5backed Yes | 62c | 64.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 23c | 54.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 44c | 53.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…2e45backed Yes | 38c | 51.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 58c | 44.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…e8f6backed Yes | 25c | 42.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 40c | 39.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…f17fbacked Yes | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…b0b0backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 40c | 29.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…1e17backed No | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf947…016bbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will John Healey be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Mike Tapp be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.