TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda66…3f38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$4.55
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$139.5
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$41.38
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$562.35
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$58.02
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$32.27
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$62.96
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,423Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$604.76
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$543.04
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.65
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$234.04
Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$41.97
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
World Politics — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$2,124.1
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.24
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$233.86
Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.01
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.4
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,892Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$493.49
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.44
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$83.87
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.42
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$3,583.81
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$50.7
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,520
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,021.14
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.9
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29%+$148.99
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,573.57
Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$8.94
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$94.6
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$39.1
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$40.7
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$61.24
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$3,428.71
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.28
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,699Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$1,661.91
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,120
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$142.11
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$82.69
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$12.75
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24,116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$7,426.12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$1,209.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$114.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$1,170.33
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$988
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-42.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,654Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$522.24
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$44.79
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Afghanistan Tour of Ireland ODIs: Ireland vs Afghanistanbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$131.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$36.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$108.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.