Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e47a5547e34f9dbb26ebd67ce8693787d20251c5f1f909d377564aa040cd807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 59c | 6,472$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.37 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed Yes | 20c | 4,670$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.27 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8475…be5bbacked No | 45c | 4,143$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 71c | 2,434$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.41 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…6d72backed Yes | 27c | 2,264$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…83e2backed No | 48c | 1,882$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 55c | 1,754$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.45 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 30c | 1,693$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…583ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,276$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 63c | 1,129$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.65 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 50c | 878.49$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.08 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 60c | 869.78$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.89 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 798.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 36c | 767.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.55 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4e…f455backed Yes | 69c | 765.84$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 50c | 717$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.42 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 46c | 713.36$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 27c | 704.86$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.13 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Yes | 66c | 699.83$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 52c | 679.18$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.02 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 22c | 622.71$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 42c | 596.69$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.03 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 38c | 595.69$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.33 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 569.21$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.35 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cd…d9d2backed No | 55c | 543.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 62c | 497.84$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 479.85$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.57 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 45c | 463.35$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 425.06$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.77 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 78c | 413.77$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.12 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 46c | 366.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 356.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.52 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 353.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 52c | 303.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 58c | 300$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 61c | 280$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 275.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 24c | 271.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 60c | 269.68$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 60c | 254.7$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 45c | 229.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 44c | 220$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 19c | 199.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 31c | 184.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 31c | 177$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 42c | 161$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 36c | 160$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…bf0ebacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf722…4e1ebacked Yes | 20c | 149.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed Yes | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 26c | 141.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 12c | 141.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 47c | 119.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 44c | 113.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 41c | 96.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 15c | 94.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 53c | 86.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067a…3821backed No | 21c | 78.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 51c | 73.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 60c | 70.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 64c | 70.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…cc69backed Yes | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 64c | 69.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…ab4fbacked Yes | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 56c | 61.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…c685backed No | 19c | 60.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 25c | 58.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…fc71backed No | 32c | 58.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 53.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 57c | 51.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 53c | 50.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…8077backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…21b9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 78c | 47.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 74c | 44.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 54c | 41.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 75c | 36.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 70c | 35.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…73dbbacked Yes | 55c | 32.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 52c | 32.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 47c | 30.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?this page
- Will Dan Rooney be the Republican nominee for OK-01?No won
- Will Kim David be the Republican nominee for OK-01?No won
- Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Yes won
- Will Nathan Butterfield be the Republican nominee for OK-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.