TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ee8…1b93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$104.99
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.62
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$1,594.15
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$57.18
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.33
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$82.83
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$67.45
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.5
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$111.53
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$447.68
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121.91
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$39
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+50%+$93.65
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.2%+$58.39
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Malkoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$409.09
UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Yizha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$214.83
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$56
Whittaker vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$138.46
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$67.39
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+95.6%+$381.84
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.2%+$99.2
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$151
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$507.36
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$77.47
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41.58
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$69.93
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$267.89
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.7%+$275.21
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+152.6%+$124.29
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$174.36
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.5
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31%+$37.41
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.01
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.42
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.43
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.95
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$12.69
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$140
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+33.3%+$33.99
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+31.6%+$47.63
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+28.2%+$41.16
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+53.8%+$53.85
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$75.27
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.52
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.36
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$317.38
Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$86.8
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.03
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+293.3%+$209.37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$37.07
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$41.75
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$92.04
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+46.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.57
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$26.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49%+$55.99
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$183.33
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+120.8%+$1,098.79
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,517Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53%+$1,335.12
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+26%+$107.56
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.1%+$259.95
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+151.2%+$315.36
Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+31.6%+$48
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+95.1%+$252.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+66.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.56
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$54.51
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$78.98
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$31.04
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$78.6
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+171.6%+$57.8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$110.85
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$44.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-68.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.85
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.