TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Moroccoof Brazil, Morocco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,031,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,122,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 797 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9243…658ebacked Morocco69c214,904$148,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,643.5415249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Brazil31c136,326$42,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,231.491,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Morocco77c115,076$89,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,059.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Brazil32c93,750$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Morocco69c85,549$59,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,520.342740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Brazil31c67,000$20,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,7703930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Brazil31c54,885$17,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,014.3521029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Morocco68c44,279$30,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,169.1920844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Brazil23c36,969$8,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,584.852,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Morocco68c29,981$20,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,594.0620044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Brazil31c26,759$8,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,419.12,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Brazil32c24,044$7,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,694.162520%5 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Morocco78c22,074$17,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Brazil29c19,304$5,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,666.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Morocco69c14,493$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.7517443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Morocco70c14,490$10,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,401.0777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Morocco69c14,005$9,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,363.5728162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Brazil17c12,803$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.5921343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Morocco78c11,461$8,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.1910550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8867…a953backed Brazil32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Brazil31c9,292$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.4420724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Morocco70c9,070$6,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.583,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Morocco70c8,592$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.4920262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Morocco68c8,010$5,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.71,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Morocco68c7,802$5,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.741,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Brazil32c6,998$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.712,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Morocco68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Morocco68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Brazil17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Brazil30c5,620$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6864932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Morocco68c5,545$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.3350243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Morocco68c5,500$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Brazil17c5,491$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.5351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac9…1a8dbacked Brazil9c5,306$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4672055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e7a…28e3backed Brazil28c5,083$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4103125.8%8 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Morocco68c5,042$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.17949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Brazil17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9922229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Brazil10c4,990$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.0643230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Brazil32c4,688$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Brazil17c4,655$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.772,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Brazil30c4,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9818839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Morocco69c4,124$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.511,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Morocco69c3,888$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.275345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Brazil31c3,725$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.647153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d8c…99f6backed Morocco69c3,478$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.266240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Brazil32c3,472$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1116516.9%11 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Morocco74c3,297$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.127529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Brazil32c3,197$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.1320053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Brazil32c3,100$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9926132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Brazil31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93013748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Brazil31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93010335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Brazil32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9815128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Brazil32c2,938$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94010234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Morocco78c2,836$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.758158%47 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Brazil5c2,729$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.454,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Morocco68c2,679$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.143348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Morocco68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9925857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Brazil31c2,271$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.015457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Brazil31c2,268$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7033218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Brazil10c2,195$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5234964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Brazil32c2,186$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.5128025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed Morocco69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.911225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Brazil11c2,101$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Brazil31c2,100$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66116540.6%67 W · 98 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Brazil17c2,054$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.724,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Morocco69c2,029$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.9910458.7%61 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Brazil31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Brazil31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9838526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Morocco69c1,978$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.1813959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Brazil25c1,947$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.778530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Brazil24c1,911$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Brazil19c1,891$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.61,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Morocco69c1,836$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.5584751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Morocco69c1,804$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.5748152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Brazil27c1,700$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4596434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Brazil32c1,647$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.0863255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Brazil31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Brazil31c1,600$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49626445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Brazil32c1,514$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.357339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Morocco68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.997055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Morocco68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.995962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc876…9903backed Morocco69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2812430.6%38 W · 86 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7576…c698backed Morocco70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.575234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a4…260fbacked Brazil32c1,424$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.564344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Brazil5c1,362$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0834144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Morocco68c1,296$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.841,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Morocco68c1,268$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3c…83e6backed Brazil23c1,260$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3be…12ccbacked Morocco69c1,250$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.512943.4%56 W · 73 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6645…9ebcbacked Brazil32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002638.5%10 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Morocco68c1,223$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Brazil10c1,219$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Morocco69c1,174$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.9610762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed Brazil32c1,148$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.434242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Morocco68c1,100$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.181,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Morocco69c1,100$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34114051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Morocco68c1,100$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9937451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Morocco70c1,081$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.22835.7%10 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Morocco68c1,026$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.326454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Brazil32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32015418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.