Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4430ca651157288572b90f6f4442a80f1441deabf537ba2d5165092f7ab6c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $660,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $743,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Under | 9c | 111,211$10,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,008.99 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 8c | 78,745$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.6 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 9c | 75,291$6,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 8c | 50,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 7c | 30,994$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.57 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Under | 8c | 11,926$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.32 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 8c | 11,828$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.68 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 8c | 10,142$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.33 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 7c | 9,091$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.29 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 7c | 8,048$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.38 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 8c | 6,125$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.14 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 8c | 4,445$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 10c | 3,148$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.3 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Under | 7c | 2,850$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 9c | 2,676$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.44 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 9c | 2,638$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.07 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Under | 8c | 2,309$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.73 | 142 | 31.7%45 W · 97 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 7c | 1,728$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 7c | 1,566$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 7c | 1,557$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 8c | 1,072$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 999.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 7c | 737.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 8c | 722.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 688.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 9c | 635.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 8c | 608.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Under | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 8c | 506.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 7c | 462.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…b7c9backed Under | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 3c | 396$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 5c | 309.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 8c | 278.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 7c | 273.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 8c | 259.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…0b34backed Under | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 9c | 238.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 8c | 223.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7e4abacked Under | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked Under | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Under | 8c | 169.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae83…0f9dbacked Under | 8c | 165$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…bec4backed Under | 9c | 142.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Under | 9c | 132.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 10c | 119.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5this page
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.