Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0944e92136732762bd2c28f441bf35b67d6ec4a04eda3f1fd405ef48176bb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 4c | 60,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 5c | 9,871$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.7 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 6c | 7,979$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.62 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 4c | 5,250$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…4a19backed Over | 4c | 4,091$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 4c | 3,627$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 2,975$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 4c | 2,326$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…f828backed Over | 4c | 2,326$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 4c | 1,923$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 4c | 1,883$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 5c | 1,850$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 4c | 1,430$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…91a4backed Over | 4c | 1,349$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Over | 2c | 1,263$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc966…e142backed Over | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Over | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 998.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 4c | 899.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 4c | 800.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 5c | 718.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 11c | 692.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…c0f5backed Over | 4c | 658.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 4c | 595.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 3c | 583.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Over | 7c | 575.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Over | 4c | 507.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…cffdbacked Over | 3c | 468.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 4c | 465.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 4c | 462.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Over | 4c | 460$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…81fcbacked Over | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…05e8backed Over | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…0198backed Over | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 5c | 308.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Over | 5c | 287.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e0…8f89backed Over | 5c | 284.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 4c | 258$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 5c | 253.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 11c | 139.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5this page
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.