TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,416 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over71c3,000$2,120 inLost-$2,119.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34a…710cbacked Under30c2,032$600 inWon+$1,431.842161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+63.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4af6…270abacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost-$101822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Under29c700$203 inWon+$4973464.7%22 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+60.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc0ca…35f7backed Under29c344.83$100 inWon+$244.832470.8%17 W · 7 L+6.6wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under60c256.24$155 inWon+$101.583,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over70c76.68$54 inLost-$53.681,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under61c60$37 inWon+$23.411745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x895c…c28cbacked Over42c60$25 inLost-$25.24535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under58c39.65$23 inWon+$16.72,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…d785backed Over66c36.57$24 inLost-$246061.7%37 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under58c34.49$20 inWon+$14.4943460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb330…ab94backed Over39c30$12 inLost-$11.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00bb…c45fbacked Over40c25.6$10 inLost-$10.242138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under59c22.62$13 inWon+$9.272,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.