TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,023 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under17c11,472$1,964 inLost-$1,964.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c5,782$1,191 inLost-$1,191.043,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under17c4,045$687 inLost-$686.52,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over77c3,182$2,450 inWon+$731.852433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under14c2,261$312 inLost-$312.0477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under17c2,229$379 inLost-$378.9220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under17c1,707$289 inLost-$289.373,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under17c1,490$248 inLost-$248.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Under18c1,241$222 inLost-$221.958748.3%42 W · 45 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under13c1,128$147 inLost-$146.792,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under17c999.94$170 inLost-$169.9911243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under19c655.71$124 inLost-$124.376654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under17c499.98$85 inLost-$851,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under17c475.12$81 inLost-$80.7784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under17c475.12$81 inLost-$80.7748152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Over77c400$308 inWon+$926972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under16c397.62$64 inLost-$63.621,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under16c358.41$57 inLost-$57.351,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over80c325$260 inWon+$652,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under17c299.99$51 inLost-$511,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa78b…b2b5backed Under18c273.16$50 inLost-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over79c201.26$159 inWon+$42.2629558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…4f65backed Under18c179.4$32 inLost-$323915.4%6 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under18c158.46$29 inLost-$28.581,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299e…25b6backed Under19c158.42$30 inLost-$305236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under17c139.88$24 inLost-$23.781,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under16c136.94$22 inLost-$21.9126537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under17c135.85$23 inLost-$22.842,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under18c92$17 inLost-$16.5618433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over80c83$66 inWon+$16.62,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over80c50$40 inWon+$1024541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf494…1ec9backed Over78c20$16 inWon+$4.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.