TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6149…b48cbacked Over31c41,660$12,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,946.554535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c17,810$12,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,179.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c7,704$5,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,419.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under67c6,866$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.94,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under70c6,469$4,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,528.291,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under70c6,000$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,190.061,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under60c5,411$3,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.2436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over70c4,094$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.353,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Over30c3,283$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.968640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6f…a65fbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under68c2,889$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.3877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Over29c2,850$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.482240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c2,430$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.132,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Under30c2,027$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.9886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over23c1,750$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.54772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under72c1,578$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under72c1,434$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02710042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Under35c1,424$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Under31c1,405$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.552740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd72e…c7d2backed Under30c1,150$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8762…cc57backed Over45c1,108$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.486541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c1,088$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.543,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c1,038$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.32,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5a…a7b7backed Over29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.48267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-80%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70012343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over64c999.3$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.482,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaeb…a226backed Under72c971.83$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under68c957.99$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.592,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over30c887.61$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.332,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over30c849.87$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.919237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under68c848$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.642,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over64c846.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.812,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over28c829.1$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.9511243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Under47c577.81$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.076246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over47c572.16$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.363,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under70c565.48$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.831,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25017459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over31c450$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6119838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over32c450$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30619039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over31c450$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Over50c440.2$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.27913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over35c427.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.482,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Over30c404.13$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.892842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Over31c354.84$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8422419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.336619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over30c329.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9823729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over30c326.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6712631%39 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Under72c302.54$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.836942%29 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Over43c300$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1706144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5f…61aebacked Over29c258.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.62933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under71c254.3$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5521046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9564…d89abacked Under29c237.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+67.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under60c225.41$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.262,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Over45c222.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.897948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1cd…896abacked Over30c215$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.54831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Over24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.337913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under62c201.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.942,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over32c200$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.781,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under69c190.74$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6126537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over30c190.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.426946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under67c174.16$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.392,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcffd…a39dbacked Over49c170.73$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.141921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-48.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over30c165.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.647545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed Under54c164.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.322138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde70…615fbacked Over30c163.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3311839.8%47 W · 71 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under80c126.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10135150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over29c110$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.111826.3%31 W · 87 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under71c109.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.769744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc046…f138backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5927028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5b…55e5backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.73253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Under71c99.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4220851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3f…b7c9backed Under57c98.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565328.3%15 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…0d62backed Over30c96.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe185…de06backed Over30c96.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.434314%6 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf875…37d2backed Over29c93.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.522437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Over30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over53c88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2958642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over48c83.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5421048.1%101 W · 109 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3312028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under70c81.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0778234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under47c78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4923645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over30c71.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0536329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661f…30b6backed Under70c70.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.363847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over30c64.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2422135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5227742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff3…0744backed Over76c64.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b46…1528backed Over30c63.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over51c59.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.994332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under70c55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.541344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over30c54.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over71c53.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.711,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0146…e924backed Over30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x139f…bb2fbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256439.1%25 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x242a…9c9ebacked Under71c49.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.