Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8802c1aadb2819b6c7cfba293e57a3446338606c7b5509955b8b07caff16c19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaeaa…95d6backed Over | 54c | 3,999$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.58 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…bd76backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,491$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Under | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…884bbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 1,920$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.12 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 1,670$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.9 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 55c | 744$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 675.89$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 54c | 669$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.74 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Over | 48c | 547.96$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf004…c9d6backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 54c | 232.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 183.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 45c | 127.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 121.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 102.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…ad46backed Over | 54c | 102.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddea…638abacked Over | 55c | 94.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…0b83backed Over | 54c | 86.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…224fbacked Over | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…c87cbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 46c | 60.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…2ffebacked Over | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…3366backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…f3f5backed Over | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…bfacbacked Over | 57c | 26.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…1472backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.