Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f2f45e53362c1c3fca6590b834fbd1360a9fa487f7b2b72448437a220b3c6d3

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Moroccoof Brazil, Morocco
Resolved: Jun 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $204,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $197,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,474 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Brazil	12c	32,540$4,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,052.59	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Brazil	14c	26,867$3,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,787.2	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Brazil	13c	15,999$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,139.94	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Brazil	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da9…f4c3backed Brazil	14c	8,652$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.41	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e7a…28e3backed Brazil	7c	6,080$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.6	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Brazil	14c	4,483$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.47	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Brazil	5c	2,836$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.27	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Brazil	3c	2,638$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.41	168	33.9%57 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Brazil	13c	2,306$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.6	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Brazil	3c	1,491$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.28	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb379…2ed2backed Brazil	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2555…8a08backed Brazil	1c	1,308$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…d1ecbacked Brazil	5c	1,114$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+19%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Brazil	12c	999.96$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.99	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Brazil	6c	976.51$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.49	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Brazil	13c	806$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.34	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Brazil	6c	775$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	167	25.7%43 W · 124 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Brazil	9c	733.11$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.98	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Brazil	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22a…6431backed Brazil	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…39e8backed Brazil	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Brazil	13c	670.45$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.34	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2837…e9fabacked Brazil	3c	600$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Brazil	14c	515$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.1	142	35.9%51 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Brazil	12c	500$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93b4…909dbacked Brazil	4c	425$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Brazil	8c	392.31$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2163…1f5ebacked Brazil	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e4…83b5backed Brazil	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0a…b4a2backed Brazil	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	86	38.4%33 W · 53 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Brazil	3c	378.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d59…0f55backed Brazil	6c	363.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.57	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Brazil	7c	357.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Brazil	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfec…fbf2backed Brazil	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Brazil	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Brazil	14c	341$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.74	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Brazil	14c	314.29$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	210	29%61 W · 149 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Brazil	8c	309.8$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.83	226	34.1%77 W · 149 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…a11dbacked Brazil	13c	299.98$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Brazil	6c	298.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Brazil	6c	297.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Brazil	5c	277.18$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Brazil	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Brazil	13c	227.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	75	32%24 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95db…dc65backed Brazil	13c	225.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Brazil	13c	222.4$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.91	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8666…2e7dbacked Brazil	5c	209.52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ad…1014backed Brazil	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6542…8804backed Brazil	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Brazil	14c	192.86$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	180	37.2%67 W · 113 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Brazil	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	136	33.1%45 W · 91 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Brazil	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	140	35.7%50 W · 90 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Brazil	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e2…d5b2backed Brazil	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed Brazil	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	100	24%24 W · 76 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Brazil	14c	150$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd81…08fcbacked Brazil	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.19per pick	41cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f78…8461backed Brazil	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8544…6e35backed Brazil	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Brazil	13c	133$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Brazil	14c	114.84$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	285	45.6%130 W · 155 L	-10.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Brazil	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	373	23.1%86 W · 287 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd495…9bcfbacked Brazil	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de3…860abacked Brazil	13c	103.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Brazil	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Brazil	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	124	37.1%46 W · 78 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Brazil	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	326	42.9%140 W · 186 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Brazil	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd8…af91backed Brazil	15c	99.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	31%18 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…4d6dbacked Brazil	14c	85.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09a9…1cffbacked Brazil	14c	77.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)this page
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Morocco won
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Brazil won
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Brazil won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event