TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc9d…930f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
244
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT18037.2%67 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+505.1%+$2,929.74
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.62
Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,696.78
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$313.01
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$175.86
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+248.2%+$397.14
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.45
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$857.26
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cabo Verde leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4914.3%7 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-55.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$117.41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$2,753.34
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+511.5%+$180.31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+143.4%+$714.26
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+168.6%+$421.44
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+271.2%+$11,492.79
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+157.1%+$3,480.63
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$600
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.14
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$197.07
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,570.25
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$800.13
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,210
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.94
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$351.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$1,506.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$271.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.