Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b5b123f9fd38f83fbe19773a5d04e38208b370ca66be27b9688155e7b5c60a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,802,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,154,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,802,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 10,108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 31c | 1,636,059$511,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511,993.19 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 1,157,678$636,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521,497.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 52c | 1,026,989$537,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537,217.54 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 73c | 760,511$555,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205,337.94 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed No | 0c | 588,867$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.64 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 372,474$188,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,306.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 59c | 319,119$187,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,011.95 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 57c | 296,326$170,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,171.2 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 69c | 289,600$199,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,763.64 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…c933backed Yes | 73c | 246,584$180,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,577.73 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 31c | 241,525$73,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,905.72 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 37c | 233,690$86,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,094.58 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 27c | 214,522$58,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,205.35 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 26c | 210,810$55,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,574.11 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 40c | 210,000$83,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,399.89 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 27c | 200,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 39c | 191,902$74,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,056.59 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 27c | 164,690$43,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,921.89 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 49c | 157,163$77,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,761.62 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 27c | 150,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked No | 27c | 150,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…6fcfbacked No | 27c | 150,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 73c | 140,000$102,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,800 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…0832backed Yes | 72c | 138,889$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,888.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…846dbacked Yes | 60c | 138,855$83,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,615.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 134,934$36,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,460.63 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 60c | 130,727$78,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,546.48 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 73c | 127,313$92,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,647.54 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 15c | 125,289$19,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,997.05 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…0a1ebacked Yes | 72c | 125,000$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 37c | 109,832$40,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,294.02 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 65c | 109,825$71,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,827.42 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed No | 27c | 100,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…232fbacked No | 27c | 99,999$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,499.76 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked No | 26c | 97,998$25,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,479.47 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 57c | 89,142$51,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,007.57 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 54c | 81,673$43,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,841.24 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 74c | 81,081$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,081.08 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…4a31backed Yes | 20c | 78,976$15,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,360.57 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 66c | 71,972$47,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,603.95 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 66,306$33,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,482.95 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 18c | 66,082$12,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,995.68 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 26c | 64,124$16,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,375 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes | 44c | 60,000$26,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,582.86 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 27c | 60,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.95 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Yes | 17c | 58,688$10,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,554.06 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 60c | 56,552$34,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,051.43 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 49c | 56,433$27,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,685.12 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 11c | 55,211$5,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,329.65 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 53c | 53,814$28,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,351.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 44c | 51,277$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,776.92 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked No | 28c | 50,714$14,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,050 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 36c | 50,622$18,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,508.32 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 51c | 50,405$25,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,617.66 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 73c | 50,000$36,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked No | 28c | 49,000$13,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,720 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 69c | 48,593$33,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,519.51 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes | 71c | 48,471$34,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,056.52 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 49c | 47,521$23,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,209.86 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…b74dbacked Yes | 39c | 47,109$18,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,789.74 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 26c | 47,017$12,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,224.39 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 26c | 46,200$12,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,209.66 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 52c | 46,169$23,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,809.82 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 26c | 44,907$11,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,675.8 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 59c | 43,954$25,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,137.76 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 28c | 42,999$11,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,939.75 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 29c | 42,914$12,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,445.08 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed No | 26c | 42,347$11,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,010.16 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 47c | 41,660$19,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,918.5 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 23c | 40,372$9,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,935.92 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 27c | 40,200$10,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,853.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Yes | 74c | 40,147$29,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,438.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 74c | 40,011$29,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,402.86 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 32c | 38,661$12,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,371.55 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd4…4304backed Yes | 74c | 38,422$28,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,989.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 1c | 37,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 28c | 37,499$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.83 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…2a64backed Yes | 73c | 36,342$26,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,812.34 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 55c | 35,472$19,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,810.45 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…c13fbacked No | 27c | 35,259$9,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,519.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…9745backed Yes | 71c | 35,210$24,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,211 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 35,000$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…5014backed Yes | 57c | 34,790$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,790.11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Yes | 73c | 34,246$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,246.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…d177backed Yes | 59c | 33,378$19,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,538.05 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 71c | 32,726$23,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,422.35 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 27c | 32,668$8,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,831.01 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 36c | 32,523$11,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,976.3 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Yes | 65c | 32,087$20,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,259.5 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 28c | 31,609$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 4c | 31,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,759.96 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 61c | 30,647$18,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,011.85 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed No | 27c | 30,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.93 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 73c | 29,999$21,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.71 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 27c | 28,873$7,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,714.37 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes | 72c | 28,846$20,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,055.63 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 1c | 28,323$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.23 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe122…d132backed Yes | 72c | 27,778$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 26c | 27,630$7,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,183.74 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Yes | 72c | 27,443$19,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,684.05 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?this page
- Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?No won
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.