TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66d5…9e9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,387.26
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,423.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$246.21
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,193.25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,667Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$1,342.76
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$312.48
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,017.48
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$711.9
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.98
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,173.06
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Arcade Esports (BO1) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group Bbacked Arcade Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.12
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.03
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.55
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$280
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$748
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$510
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$2,193.75
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,746.86
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$6,231.42
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13,242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$26,885.09
France to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$460.2
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,904.56
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,636.31
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$4,977.44
France to score first vs. Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$6,237.49
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$29,399.78
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.88
Spain to score first vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$904.42
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,649.85
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$408.35
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.07
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,057Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$1,334.52
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,879.42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,720
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,599.88
United States to score first vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12,766.25
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7,019.89
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,399.97
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,483.41
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$24,849.73
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34,789Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14,209.79
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,124.99
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,084
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.