TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, paiN Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru77c24,802$19,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,695.115,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fake do Biru77c10,384$7,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.992,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked paiN Academy23c7,787$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.819529.2%57 W · 138 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Fake do Biru75c7,503$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.5777052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN Academy19c3,647$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.282,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru78c3,490$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.256,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked paiN Academy22c3,400$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7485855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Academy25c3,000$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7461,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed paiN Academy23c2,834$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.376350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fake do Biru79c2,550$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.751,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed paiN Academy36c2,432$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.5910043%43 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Fake do Biru78c2,422$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.4720045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed Fake do Biru67c2,416$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.634266.7%28 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked paiN Academy17c2,340$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.931,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed paiN Academy1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked paiN Academy23c1,843$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.913760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Fake do Biru80c1,824$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.8922641.2%93 W · 133 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed paiN Academy24c1,595$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.221,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed paiN Academy29c1,548$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.614451.4%74 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN Academy20c1,528$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.093,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2b9…7126backed paiN Academy23c1,500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed paiN Academy24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.994057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed paiN Academy26c1,499$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.3682142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked paiN Academy22c1,485$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.662941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed paiN Academy23c1,474$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.0212252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked paiN Academy26c1,400$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3646854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN Academy26c1,292$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.95,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked paiN Academy2c1,250$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.116511.5%19 W · 146 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked paiN Academy17c1,145$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.659146.2%42 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN Academy22c1,121$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.825,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed paiN Academy5c1,000$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.412,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed paiN Academy24c881$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6234626.9%93 W · 253 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed paiN Academy16c847.85$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.572,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked paiN Academy23c845.75$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5219351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked paiN Academy2c800$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6549.3%5 W · 49 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked paiN Academy24c800$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.525046.8%117 W · 133 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed paiN Academy25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Fake do Biru77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.222,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy20c774$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.035,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed paiN Academy23c760.7$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9648939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Fake do Biru68c751.25$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2842538.6%164 W · 261 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed paiN Academy16c741$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7912627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked paiN Academy26c719.05$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.521,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2054…e7d6backed paiN Academy19c716.73$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed paiN Academy24c706.26$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7610731.8%34 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed paiN Academy25c705$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8364748.4%313 W · 334 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed paiN Academy27c694.55$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8127037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Fake do Biru80c681.11$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3549646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed paiN Academy22c664.09$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.111349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Fake do Biru76c655.65$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5647655%262 W · 214 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Fake do Biru78c649.35$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1861055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf01d…fed2backed paiN Academy27c643.04$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.621526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Fake do Biru78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.036555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked paiN Academy23c639.13$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed paiN Academy23c631.3$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.210342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked paiN Academy28c622.11$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.196245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Fake do Biru72c622.11$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1915349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked paiN Academy22c604.55$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13314441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Fake do Biru77c599.99$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.51,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Fake do Biru68c584.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.731,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfd4…91f7backed paiN Academy39c577.05$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2261833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed paiN Academy28c574.58$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9175438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked paiN Academy25c562.96$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.745442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked paiN Academy25c548.75$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0163038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked paiN Academy23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11558343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb368…202bbacked Fake do Biru80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked paiN Academy22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fake do Biru78c447.24$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.611,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked paiN Academy26c443$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0776933.8%260 W · 509 L-48.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbe4…8cafbacked paiN Academy24c410$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005834.5%20 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fake do Biru70c403.9$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.62,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked paiN Academy24c400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9413354.9%73 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN Academy19c399.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.552,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy8c399.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.344,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Fake do Biru79c397.61$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4515335.9%55 W · 98 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked paiN Academy24c392.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.263541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed paiN Academy25c370$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.52,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Fake do Biru73c368.96$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6240542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed paiN Academy12c357.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.362,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked paiN Academy14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015147%71 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked paiN Academy14c350$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0938421.9%84 W · 300 L-44.9wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN Academy17c349.63$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.945,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed paiN Academy22c346.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0789630.7%275 W · 621 L-64.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31de…6003backed paiN Academy18c335.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed paiN Academy23c323.52$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4146343.2%200 W · 263 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed paiN Academy38c303.55$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11598856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked paiN Academy24c279.84$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.81,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked paiN Academy22c271.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.356350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked paiN Academy17c270.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9935131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Fake do Biru75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6720147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Fake do Biru76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1648654.5%265 W · 221 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Fake do Biru76c250.37$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.851,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6b…2573backed Fake do Biru65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.52552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed paiN Academy26c250$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7529447.3%139 W · 155 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Fake do Biru62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9526245.4%119 W · 143 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN Academy19c240$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.83,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked paiN Academy23c234.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.41,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed paiN Academy22c230$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61,08737.5%408 W · 679 L+33.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed paiN Academy22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017438.5%67 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked paiN Academy17c226$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5223644.9%106 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.