CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24669d701d50ab08aa9d08b86b849e7d52ae7eab90b48202f303786fa14aa8d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed paiN Academy | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 68c | 1,322$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked paiN Academy | 7c | 1,011$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked paiN Academy | 15c | 963.8$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…0dd9backed Fake do Biru | 71c | 826.15$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed paiN Academy | 20c | 770.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed paiN Academy | 30c | 632.25$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 540.12$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.04 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fake do Biru | 74c | 526.07$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed paiN Academy | 32c | 468.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Fake do Biru | 72c | 414.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed paiN Academy | 32c | 412$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed paiN Academy | 33c | 383.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked paiN Academy | 7c | 342.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN Academy | 27c | 313.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed paiN Academy | 19c | 258$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked paiN Academy | 29c | 218.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed paiN Academy | 29c | 215.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked paiN Academy | 30c | 213.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed paiN Academy | 19c | 192.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed paiN Academy | 21c | 189.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked paiN Academy | 18c | 140.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed paiN Academy | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed paiN Academy | 14c | 121.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN Academy | 16c | 116.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed paiN Academy | 30c | 113.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked paiN Academy | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked paiN Academy | 15c | 89.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked paiN Academy | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked paiN Academy | 23c | 70.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked paiN Academy | 19c | 68.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Fake do Biru | 74c | 65.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked paiN Academy | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked paiN Academy | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Fake do Biru | 69c | 61.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed paiN Academy | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed paiN Academy | 31c | 53.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked paiN Academy | 32c | 51.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed paiN Academy | 32c | 45.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked paiN Academy | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Fake do Biru | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed paiN Academy | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Fake do Biru | 80c | 18.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6280…f8cbbacked Fake do Biru | 72c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group AFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fake do Biru (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5)Fake do Biru won
- Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)paiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.