TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiN Academyof Fake do Biru, paiN Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Fake do Biru61c4,397$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.5775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru70c3,577$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.95,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed paiN Academy41c2,458$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.659842.9%42 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Fake do Biru1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN Academy43c1,765$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.21,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked paiN Academy30c1,569$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.1122241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed paiN Academy48c1,548$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.132,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked paiN Academy33c1,444$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.9594645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fake do Biru66c1,343$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.492,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru72c1,060$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.837,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fake do Biru43c1,040$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.514,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN Academy40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fake do Biru56c999.99$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.032,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fake do Biru9c861.02$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.392,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Fake do Biru62c847.83$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.9641938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru54c818$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.986,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked paiN Academy29c800.4$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.2819351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Fake do Biru71c714.14$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.0446555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed paiN Academy35c692.73$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.024934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked paiN Academy30c650$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45224746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Fake do Biru9c610.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fake do Biru32c602$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.675,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed paiN Academy54c600$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27841050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN Academy32c584.23$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.555,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Fake do Biru74c506.2$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.3289046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN Academy41c505.29$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.953,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fake do Biru61c422.8$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.941,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed paiN Academy44c397.73$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3827544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Fake do Biru57c359.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.225142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Fake do Biru63c349.99$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8911650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c18…7a4ebacked paiN Academy38c329.42$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Fake do Biru61c326.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked paiN Academy45c316.47$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.31,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed paiN Academy29c310.6$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5348240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked paiN Academy31c300$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20891945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed paiN Academy47c297.65$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3475438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked paiN Academy53c296.94$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.181,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN Academy38c291.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.945,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fake do Biru59c284.72$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.172,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Fake do Biru66c270.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7528173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed paiN Academy58c267.39$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5140639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Fake do Biru58c265$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.720248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Fake do Biru64c251.95$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.558745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed paiN Academy32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17029246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Fake do Biru65c250$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.671,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fake do Biru7c249.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.558343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed paiN Academy30c225$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed paiN Academy39c220.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7914151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Fake do Biru73c215$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9845754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Fake do Biru76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Fake do Biru54c191$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.141,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Fake do Biru59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Fake do Biru44c161.24$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3943152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed paiN Academy33c159.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.852853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fake do Biru54c159.84$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.582,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Fake do Biru69c157$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3374054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked paiN Academy31c157$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Fake do Biru65c155$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7533448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fake do Biru47c151.49$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.921,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed paiN Academy58c151.28$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5452750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4a…234bbacked Fake do Biru63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.07850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN Academy39c141.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.683,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed paiN Academy71c139.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.97374%54 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f12…3f91backed Fake do Biru43c138.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.62347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed paiN Academy68c136$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9649143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked paiN Academy40c123.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1513938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Fake do Biru54c121.64$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1863038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed paiN Academy31c119.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0960451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed paiN Academy44c115.03$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.881,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Fake do Biru73c112$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8621251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed paiN Academy31c107.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4432844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Fake do Biru61c107.15$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3636649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Fake do Biru69c103.6$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed paiN Academy38c102.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5614447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Fake do Biru73c102$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2627156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked paiN Academy44c100.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.682,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2054…e7d6backed paiN Academy40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.15540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Fake do Biru64c96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5247856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fake do Biru43c91.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.93,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked paiN Academy45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.352,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Fake do Biru76c87.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2640857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Fake do Biru68c83.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2574653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Fake do Biru60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN Academy59c83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.992,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fake do Biru54c77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.451,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Fake do Biru69c74.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2951348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad1…8f0ebacked paiN Academy42c71.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.024158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed paiN Academy39c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.791743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked paiN Academy30c63.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fake do Biru28c61.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.362,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked paiN Academy40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610146.5%47 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fake do Biru18c55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1738844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed Fake do Biru56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Fake do Biru71c53.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9624054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Fake do Biru47c52.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6940140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed paiN Academy41c48.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.651,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked paiN Academy43c46.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6433362.2%207 W · 126 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Fake do Biru67c46.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9836174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Fake do Biru64c46.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5752645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Fake do Biru74c45.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3442255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.