CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7c8fb093050c84a61b26c23d4b294c220aeb031af8beaa35045d8415da2afb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof Fake do Biru, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 49c | 4,049$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 1,118$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.22 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed paiN Academy | 50c | 1,047$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.84 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked paiN Academy | 50c | 750$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.5 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked paiN Academy | 50c | 674.24$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.12 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fake do Biru | 2c | 417$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked paiN Academy | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed paiN Academy | 53c | 357.47$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.01 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN Academy | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 321.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked paiN Academy | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fake do Biru | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed paiN Academy | 56c | 268.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed paiN Academy | 50c | 257.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked paiN Academy | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed paiN Academy | 47c | 219.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked paiN Academy | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed paiN Academy | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed paiN Academy | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed paiN Academy | 54c | 183.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked paiN Academy | 51c | 180.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed paiN Academy | 50c | 144.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked paiN Academy | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Fake do Biru | 42c | 130.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…2c12backed Fake do Biru | 46c | 107.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Fake do Biru | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fake do Biru | 49c | 83.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed paiN Academy | 53c | 75.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked paiN Academy | 47c | 61.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed paiN Academy | 51c | 50.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked paiN Academy | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 34.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed paiN Academy | 47c | 30.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed paiN Academy | 58c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Fake do Biru | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed paiN Academy | 49c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked paiN Academy | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…1ccabacked paiN Academy | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group AFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fake do Biru (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5)Fake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.