CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26391556a5310f848c91f24efa3ada13265b553a6fca3415cb21f7423429bf45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 61c | 1,215$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.56 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 62c | 969.25$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.09 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Over | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 361 | 45.4%164 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 62c | 808.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 62c | 807.07$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.05 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 38c | 643.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.95 | 395 | 38.7%153 W · 242 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 38c | 497.4$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.89 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Over | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Over | 38c | 205.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 38c | 158$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 39c | 145.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 120.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 39c | 99.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…bb71backed Over | 43c | 89.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 41c | 85.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 83.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 60c | 79.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 38c | 58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 63c | 48.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Over | 43c | 46.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 39c | 45.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 34.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Over | 38c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group AFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fake do Biru (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5)Fake do Biru won
- Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)paiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.