TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3fff…bb71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.68
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.73
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.72
Valorant: CGN Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Çilekler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.41
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$45.78
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Valorant: Çilekler vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup Dbacked Çilekler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$59.73
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.57
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked ARETE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$65.67
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.78
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$71.11
Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked AG.AL International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)backed largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$42.25
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$73.6
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Abacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs ShindeN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+151.9%+$60.76
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+182.7%+$140.96
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Bbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)backed METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$51.13
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$25.96
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Passion Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucaramanga: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.87
Dubrovnik: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Suzan Lamensbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$67.17
Alicante: Marco Cecchinato vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$124.61
Naples: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Asuncion: Guido Justo vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Morelos: Vadym Ursu vs Andres Martinbacked Vadym Ursu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.06
Cherbourg: Clement Tabur vs Kei Nishikoribacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Kigali 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Martinbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thionville: Roman Safiullin vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$108.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolves: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$43.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.