Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolves: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf0f1c1559c6907f74a2e772a5ddcc850e0432499f11eae661cbfb787b57ebdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,148 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 49c | 6,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.97 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 48c | 5,321$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.29 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 4,555$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 53c | 2,505$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.13 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 2,093$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.64 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 52c | 991.26$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.81 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 55c | 907.71$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.07 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Over | 50c | 866.08$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 51c | 844.2$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.66 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Over | 52c | 651.62$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.78 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 52c | 615.04$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.11 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 50c | 523.88$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 50c | 303$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 52c | 285.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 51c | 199.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 52c | 170.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 51c | 156.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 50c | 152.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 140.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Under | 50c | 136.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Over | 51c | 111.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Over | 51c | 106.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…bb71backed Over | 51c | 89.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Over | 51c | 87.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…9374backed Over | 51c | 87.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 51c | 77.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…04bbbacked Under | 51c | 72.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 54c | 64.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Over | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 51c | 51.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 51c | 50.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 49.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…8bb1backed Over | 51c | 31.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed Under | 49c | 24.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Over | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolves: O/U 157.5this page
- North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia WolvesWest Georgia Wolves won
- North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolves: O/U 158.5Over won
- North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolves: O/U 159.5Over won
- North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolves: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: West Georgia Wolves (-4.5)West Georgia Wolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.