TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0af…6fc6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT4654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$5.57
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$14.61
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.15
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$16.92
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$11.38
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.39
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$5.07
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$11.9
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.29
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$3.03
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.64
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.52
Khris Middleton: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.26
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.38
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.79
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.16
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.46
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.95
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.55
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+400%+$40.17
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs G2 NORD (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$42.33
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.85
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.14
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25.1%+$6.38
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Play-Inbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.71
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.65
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: East Asian Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.03
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Alliance (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.23
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+163.2%+$42.02
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.86
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.16
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$12.05
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.91
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+111.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+173.3%+$22.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.5%+$14.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.