TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Akron Zips vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 165.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe248…f293backed Over51c15,586$7,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,948.0378155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.9824748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under50c8,190$4,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,073.7118548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c2,398$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.985,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over50c2,111$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.6874649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c1,430$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.7992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under51c1,081$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9341752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over50c1,004$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.9884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over50c924.84$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.4226254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under48c865.01$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.6511243.8%49 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40822349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over51c799.99$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40848855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over49c799.98$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9914150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c594.75$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3834746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25544452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Under53c374.46$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.215759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over51c232.43$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2369350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under49c198.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4338837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over50c197.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6363551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1317661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Under52c164.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over54c148.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.31,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over48c140.4$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.591,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c132.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.035,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf896…3cc6backed Under51c106.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.381643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8958…e945backed Under51c99.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Over50c97.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.589947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f49…b482backed Under53c94.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over50c85.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c83.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4924857.3%142 W · 106 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c76.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.142,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under53c74.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3819848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over49c40.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6270936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8318439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29a…d236backed Over50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under52c38.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.594847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c36.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.553,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0af…6fc6backed Over50c33.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.615855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3fd…6b4dbacked Under58c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c24.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8989146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under50c24.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2527350.5%138 W · 135 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Over50c23.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…17c4backed Over51c23.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+63.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.