Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Akron Zips (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa83e7ef2661422561928e155c35abbca9cb22e1ab311ffda93dd20d8a2ea56c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akron Zipsof Akron Zips, Kent State Golden Flashes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Akron Zips | 51c | 11,533$5,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.56 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 8,445$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,138.14 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 2,577$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.63 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Akron Zips | 53c | 1,020$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.57 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 46c | 786.86$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Akron Zips | 55c | 454.59$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.76 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Akron Zips | 51c | 279.28$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Akron Zips | 55c | 224.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…8461backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 149.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 121.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 101.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Akron Zips | 51c | 85.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 51c | 78.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 76.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 74.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Akron Zips | 53c | 65.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Akron Zips | 51c | 58.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Akron Zips | 53c | 56.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 50.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Akron Zips | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 43c | 36.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Akron Zips | 46c | 32.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 31.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Akron Zips | 53c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 29.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…9e2bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 23.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…17c4backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 22.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Akron Zips | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Akron Zips (-3.5)this page
- Akron Zips vs. Kent State Golden FlashesAkron Zips won
- Akron Zips vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 164.5Under won
- Akron Zips vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 165.5Under won
- Akron Zips vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 166.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.