TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Akron Zips vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 164.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.9141752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under46c5,618$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.724748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over54c5,452$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.1878155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over52c2,760$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.174152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over52c2,631$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.1484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under46c2,042$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.2522349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c1,294$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.9792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Over55c899.55$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.752751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over51c783.7$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6948855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c598.83$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.582,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over53c472.53$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4911243.8%49 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Under49c404.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.345759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over53c373.71$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0778052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked Under45c314.25$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.842638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under45c297.4$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5717241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c276$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1730853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over53c148.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.811,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3577…0e8cbacked Over55c144.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.311631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over52c131.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0640849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ced…393ebacked Under45c110.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.585100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over52c95.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5631647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Over52c95.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5628354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over53c91.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6663551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over54c91.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c81.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1669350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c78.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9524857.3%142 W · 106 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c73.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.883,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c9d…8498backed Under45c59.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.521050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over52c57.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7431057.4%178 W · 132 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over54c50.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5217661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Under49c47.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under49c46.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5415252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over53c42.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.364,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e78…8bb1backed Under45c39.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.811747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under49c39.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2262753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under48c27.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4619848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under46c25.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.713457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0af…6fc6backed Over52c25.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c16…17c4backed Over52c24.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+63.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Over52c22.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over53c20.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9885248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Over55c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.994250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c19.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.315,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.